Trader consensus in the GA-13 Democratic primary favors state Rep. Jasmine Clark at 37.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. David Scott's 28%, reflecting a March 18 poll showing them statistically tied with 12% undecided voters amid concerns over Scott's age, long tenure, and past voting record absences. The crowded field—including Pierre Whatley (16.8%) and Everton Blair Jr. (13.5%), who gained from Ron McKenzie's February endorsement—with fragments anti-incumbent support in this Black-majority suburban Atlanta district. High undecideds and split challenger vote keep the race tight ahead of the May 19 primary; separation could come from endorsements, fundraising surges, debates, or early voting trends in key precincts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Jasmine Clark 38%
David Scott 32%
Everton Blair Jr. 20%
Pierre Whatley 4.6%
Jasmine Clark
38%
David Scott
32%
Everton Blair Jr.
20%
Pierre Whatley
5%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
2%
Jasmine Clark 38%
David Scott 32%
Everton Blair Jr. 20%
Pierre Whatley 4.6%
Jasmine Clark
38%
David Scott
32%
Everton Blair Jr.
20%
Pierre Whatley
5%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the GA-13 Democratic primary favors state Rep. Jasmine Clark at 37.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. David Scott's 28%, reflecting a March 18 poll showing them statistically tied with 12% undecided voters amid concerns over Scott's age, long tenure, and past voting record absences. The crowded field—including Pierre Whatley (16.8%) and Everton Blair Jr. (13.5%), who gained from Ron McKenzie's February endorsement—with fragments anti-incumbent support in this Black-majority suburban Atlanta district. High undecideds and split challenger vote keep the race tight ahead of the May 19 primary; separation could come from endorsements, fundraising surges, debates, or early voting trends in key precincts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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