Trader consensus favors state Rep. Jasmine Clark at 37.5% implied probability to win the GA-13 Democratic primary, closely followed by incumbent Rep. David Scott at 31.5% and educator Everton Blair Jr. at 23%, reflecting a fragmented field in this safe Democratic district ahead of the May 19 contest. A March 18 Z to A Research poll (conducted March 10-13) showing Clark at 30% to Scott's 31%—with 12% undecided—has fueled her momentum amid voter concerns over Scott's long tenure, age, and spotty town hall attendance. Blair benefits from Feb. 23 rival Ron McKenzie's endorsement and March 24 backing by state Sen. Josh McLaurin, splitting anti-incumbent votes. Recent candidate forums and qualifying underscore the tight dynamics; new polls, endorsements, or fundraising reports could create separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Jasmine Clark 38%
David Scott 32%
Everton Blair Jr. 24%
Pierre Whatley 4.5%
Jasmine Clark
38%
David Scott
32%
Everton Blair Jr.
24%
Pierre Whatley
4%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
2%
Jasmine Clark 38%
David Scott 32%
Everton Blair Jr. 24%
Pierre Whatley 4.5%
Jasmine Clark
38%
David Scott
32%
Everton Blair Jr.
24%
Pierre Whatley
4%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors state Rep. Jasmine Clark at 37.5% implied probability to win the GA-13 Democratic primary, closely followed by incumbent Rep. David Scott at 31.5% and educator Everton Blair Jr. at 23%, reflecting a fragmented field in this safe Democratic district ahead of the May 19 contest. A March 18 Z to A Research poll (conducted March 10-13) showing Clark at 30% to Scott's 31%—with 12% undecided—has fueled her momentum amid voter concerns over Scott's long tenure, age, and spotty town hall attendance. Blair benefits from Feb. 23 rival Ron McKenzie's endorsement and March 24 backing by state Sen. Josh McLaurin, splitting anti-incumbent votes. Recent candidate forums and qualifying underscore the tight dynamics; new polls, endorsements, or fundraising reports could create separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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