Trader consensus favors Switzerland at 53.5% implied probability to win Group B, driven by their superior FIFA ranking around 17th, consistent major tournament pedigree, and key talents like Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo providing midfield control and attacking threat absent in rivals. Bosnia and Herzegovina's dramatic 4-1 penalty shootout victory over Italy in the UEFA playoffs on March 31 finalized the group—Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, BIH—solidifying Switzerland's edge as BIH slots in as the weakest link despite playoff momentum. Canada's 25.5% reflects co-host home advantage, including the June 13 Toronto opener versus BIH, bolstered by Alphonso Davies' pace, though recent 0-0 friendly draw with Tunisia underscores defensive solidity over firepower. Qatar languishes at 4.8% post their winless 2022 World Cup hosting, while the BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL outcome at 16% captures the playoff winner's underdog status in a competitive group stage where top two advance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於瑞士 54%
加拿大 26%
波赫/義大利/北愛/威爾斯 16%
卡塔爾 4.5%
$34,908 交易量
$34,908 交易量
瑞士
54%
加拿大
26%
波赫/義大利/北愛/威爾斯
16%
卡塔爾
4%
瑞士 54%
加拿大 26%
波赫/義大利/北愛/威爾斯 16%
卡塔爾 4.5%
$34,908 交易量
$34,908 交易量
瑞士
54%
加拿大
26%
波赫/義大利/北愛/威爾斯
16%
卡塔爾
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Switzerland at 53.5% implied probability to win Group B, driven by their superior FIFA ranking around 17th, consistent major tournament pedigree, and key talents like Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo providing midfield control and attacking threat absent in rivals. Bosnia and Herzegovina's dramatic 4-1 penalty shootout victory over Italy in the UEFA playoffs on March 31 finalized the group—Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, BIH—solidifying Switzerland's edge as BIH slots in as the weakest link despite playoff momentum. Canada's 25.5% reflects co-host home advantage, including the June 13 Toronto opener versus BIH, bolstered by Alphonso Davies' pace, though recent 0-0 friendly draw with Tunisia underscores defensive solidity over firepower. Qatar languishes at 4.8% post their winless 2022 World Cup hosting, while the BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL outcome at 16% captures the playoff winner's underdog status in a competitive group stage where top two advance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions