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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 35.7%

法國 13.4%

丹麥 10.2%

希臘 6.5%

Polymarket

$53,109,498 交易量

芬蘭 35.7%

法國 13.4%

丹麥 10.2%

希臘 6.5%

Polymarket

$53,109,498 交易量

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芬蘭

$1,850,131 交易量

36%

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法國

$1,408,092 交易量

13%

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丹麥

$931,955 交易量

10%

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希臘

$1,311,670 交易量

6%

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澳洲

$1,193,731 交易量

6%

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以色列

$1,226,624 交易量

4%

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瑞典

$938,024 交易量

4%

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烏克蘭

$1,111,757 交易量

2%

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義大利

$1,515,566 交易量

2%

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羅馬尼亞

$893,504 交易量

2%

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捷克

$808,659 交易量

1%

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賽普勒斯

$1,118,972 交易量

1%

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馬耳他

$1,022,413 交易量

1%

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保加利亞

$1,112,400 交易量

1%

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克羅地亞

$945,484 交易量

1%

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德國

$887,501 交易量

1%

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盧森堡

$1,021,713 交易量

1%

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比利時

$1,256,733 交易量

1%

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挪威

$1,292,232 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$2,214,447 交易量

1%

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英國

$715,037 交易量

1%

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波蘭

$1,972,751 交易量

1%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$2,036,237 交易量

<1%

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奧地利

$2,133,502 交易量

<1%

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愛沙尼亞

$2,540,372 交易量

<1%

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拉脫維亞

$2,124,128 交易量

<1%

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摩爾多瓦

$1,144,451 交易量

<1%

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葡萄牙

$2,109,724 交易量

<1%

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聖馬力諾

$2,340,016 交易量

<1%

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亞美尼亞

$2,098,426 交易量

<1%

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阿塞拜疆

$2,480,040 交易量

<1%

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喬治亞

$2,213,361 交易量

<1%

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立陶宛

$1,621,380 交易量

<1%

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蒙特內哥羅

$2,708,674 交易量

<1%

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塞爾維亞

$810,980 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 35.6% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated UMK in late February and now leads OGAE fan polls—recently earning 12 points from OGAE France—while topping charts alongside Denmark's entry and blending jury-approved production with massive televote energy akin to 2023's near-winner. France's Monroe surges to 13.2% on the strength of her operatic "Regarde!" standout live debut this week, boosting Big 5 pre-qualification momentum. Denmark holds third at 10.2% via Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive "Før vi går hjem," favored for Semi-Final 2; Australia and Greece tie challengers amid rising buzz for Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and Akylas' "Ferto." With Vienna semis May 12/14, early rehearsals and bloc voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$53,109,498
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 35.6% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated UMK in late February and now leads OGAE fan polls—recently earning 12 points from OGAE France—while topping charts alongside Denmark's entry and blending jury-approved production with massive televote energy akin to 2023's near-winner. France's Monroe surges to 13.2% on the strength of her operatic "Regarde!" standout live debut this week, boosting Big 5 pre-qualification momentum. Denmark holds third at 10.2% via Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive "Før vi går hjem," favored for Semi-Final 2; Australia and Greece tie challengers amid rising buzz for Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and Akylas' "Ferto." With Vienna semis May 12/14, early rehearsals and bloc voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$53,109,498
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 36%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $53.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.