Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 36.3% implied probability, driven by their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28—securing nearly triple the points of runners-up through jury acclaim for violin-infused staging and explosive televote energy reminiscent of past Nordic hits. Recent OGAE fan poll updates, including France's 12 points to Finland, and ESCXTRA's March 30 scoreboard (Finland #1 with 278,000+ points) solidify this momentum amid all 35 entries now released. France's Monroe (13.4%) and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (10.2%) trail as strong contenders, boosted by pre-party performances and #2/#3 community rankings, with Vienna semi-final draws and rehearsals looming as key catalysts before the May 16 final.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 36.3%
法國 13.4%
丹麥 10.2%
澳洲 6.6%
$53,296,408 交易量
$53,296,408 交易量

芬蘭
36%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
7%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

烏克蘭
3%

義大利
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅地亞
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

比利時
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英國
1%

波蘭
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%
芬蘭 36.3%
法國 13.4%
丹麥 10.2%
澳洲 6.6%
$53,296,408 交易量
$53,296,408 交易量

芬蘭
36%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
7%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

烏克蘭
3%

義大利
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅地亞
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

比利時
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英國
1%

波蘭
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 36.3% implied probability, driven by their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28—securing nearly triple the points of runners-up through jury acclaim for violin-infused staging and explosive televote energy reminiscent of past Nordic hits. Recent OGAE fan poll updates, including France's 12 points to Finland, and ESCXTRA's March 30 scoreboard (Finland #1 with 278,000+ points) solidify this momentum amid all 35 entries now released. France's Monroe (13.4%) and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (10.2%) trail as strong contenders, boosted by pre-party performances and #2/#3 community rankings, with Vienna semi-final draws and rehearsals looming as key catalysts before the May 16 final.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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