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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 36.9%

法國 12.3%

丹麥 10.5%

希臘 7.1%

Polymarket

$63,172,322 交易量

芬蘭 36.9%

法國 12.3%

丹麥 10.5%

希臘 7.1%

Polymarket

$63,172,322 交易量

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芬蘭

$1,916,527 交易量

37%

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法國

$1,504,344 交易量

12%

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丹麥

$1,030,383 交易量

11%

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希臘

$1,422,709 交易量

7%

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澳洲

$1,283,377 交易量

7%

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以色列

$1,293,893 交易量

4%

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瑞典

$1,007,236 交易量

3%

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烏克蘭

$1,204,648 交易量

3%

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羅馬尼亞

$987,334 交易量

2%

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義大利

$1,600,845 交易量

2%

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捷克

$835,558 交易量

1%

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賽普勒斯

$1,169,518 交易量

1%

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馬耳他

$1,066,260 交易量

1%

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保加利亞

$1,151,324 交易量

1%

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立陶宛

$1,984,746 交易量

1%

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克羅地亞

$1,007,347 交易量

1%

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盧森堡

$1,085,118 交易量

1%

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摩爾多瓦

$1,272,243 交易量

1%

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挪威

$1,503,667 交易量

1%

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英國

$782,815 交易量

1%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$2,688,672 交易量

<1%

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比利時

$1,439,641 交易量

<1%

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愛沙尼亞

$3,249,670 交易量

<1%

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德國

$1,033,910 交易量

<1%

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葡萄牙

$2,613,367 交易量

<1%

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聖馬力諾

$2,933,046 交易量

<1%

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亞美尼亞

$2,657,876 交易量

<1%

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阿塞拜疆

$3,162,476 交易量

<1%

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喬治亞

$2,801,821 交易量

<1%

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蒙特內哥羅

$3,443,076 交易量

<1%

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瑞士

$2,496,560 交易量

<1%

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奧地利

$2,966,230 交易量

<1%

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拉脫維亞

$2,856,182 交易量

<1%

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波蘭

$2,677,940 交易量

<1%

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塞爾維亞

$1,161,857 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 36.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following its dominant win at UMK on February 28, blending jury-pleasing sophistication with high-energy televote appeal reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader sentiment surged on early fan poll successes, including OGAE France's 12 points, and viral TikTok traction amid completed national selections across 35 countries. France (12.3%) and Denmark (10.5%) trail as Big Five and regional powerhouses with polished entries gaining precursor buzz, while Greece and Australia hover around 7% on melodic hooks and strong diaspora support. With rehearsals looming ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 dates, semi-final qualifiers and live staging could spark momentum shifts in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$63,172,322
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 36.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following its dominant win at UMK on February 28, blending jury-pleasing sophistication with high-energy televote appeal reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader sentiment surged on early fan poll successes, including OGAE France's 12 points, and viral TikTok traction amid completed national selections across 35 countries. France (12.3%) and Denmark (10.5%) trail as Big Five and regional powerhouses with polished entries gaining precursor buzz, while Greece and Australia hover around 7% on melodic hooks and strong diaspora support. With rehearsals looming ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 dates, semi-final qualifiers and live staging could spark momentum shifts in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$63,172,322
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 37%, followed by "法國" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $63.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.