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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 35.7%

法國 13.4%

丹麥 10.2%

澳洲 6.5%

Polymarket

$53,110,686 交易量

芬蘭 35.7%

法國 13.4%

丹麥 10.2%

澳洲 6.5%

Polymarket

$53,110,686 交易量

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芬蘭

$1,850,132 交易量

36%

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法國

$1,408,225 交易量

13%

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丹麥

$931,955 交易量

10%

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澳洲

$1,193,931 交易量

6%

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希臘

$1,311,670 交易量

6%

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以色列

$1,226,876 交易量

4%

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瑞典

$938,244 交易量

4%

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烏克蘭

$1,111,924 交易量

2%

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義大利

$1,516,166 交易量

2%

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羅馬尼亞

$893,504 交易量

2%

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捷克

$808,659 交易量

1%

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賽普勒斯

$1,118,972 交易量

1%

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馬耳他

$1,022,413 交易量

1%

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保加利亞

$1,112,400 交易量

1%

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克羅地亞

$945,484 交易量

1%

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德國

$887,501 交易量

1%

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盧森堡

$1,021,713 交易量

1%

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比利時

$1,256,733 交易量

1%

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挪威

$1,292,232 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$2,214,447 交易量

1%

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英國

$715,037 交易量

1%

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波蘭

$1,972,751 交易量

1%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$2,036,587 交易量

<1%

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奧地利

$2,133,909 交易量

<1%

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愛沙尼亞

$2,540,436 交易量

<1%

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拉脫維亞

$2,124,564 交易量

<1%

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摩爾多瓦

$1,144,451 交易量

<1%

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葡萄牙

$2,109,724 交易量

<1%

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聖馬力諾

$2,340,715 交易量

<1%

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亞美尼亞

$2,098,665 交易量

<1%

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阿塞拜疆

$2,480,278 交易量

<1%

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喬治亞

$2,213,440 交易量

<1%

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立陶宛

$1,621,520 交易量

<1%

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蒙特內哥羅

$2,709,066 交易量

<1%

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塞爾維亞

$810,980 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by its infectious chorus, dynamic staging potential, and rare jury-televote balance highlighted in recent rehearsals and model forecasts like 'The Model.' France's Monroe surged to 13.4% following the March unveiling of operatic "Regarde!," evoking recent winner momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.2% on the emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from early February's Dansk Melodi Grand Prix. Greece's Akylas at 6.5% gains from "Ferto's" national final energy, and Australia's Delta Goodrem at 6.4% benefits from star power in "Eclipse." With national selections wrapping up and Vienna semis on May 12/14, preview buzz and allocation draws will drive further shifts in this fluid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$53,110,686
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by its infectious chorus, dynamic staging potential, and rare jury-televote balance highlighted in recent rehearsals and model forecasts like 'The Model.' France's Monroe surged to 13.4% following the March unveiling of operatic "Regarde!," evoking recent winner momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.2% on the emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from early February's Dansk Melodi Grand Prix. Greece's Akylas at 6.5% gains from "Ferto's" national final energy, and Australia's Delta Goodrem at 6.4% benefits from star power in "Eclipse." With national selections wrapping up and Vienna semis on May 12/14, preview buzz and allocation draws will drive further shifts in this fluid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$53,110,686
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 36%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $53.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.