Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by its infectious chorus, dynamic staging potential, and rare jury-televote balance highlighted in recent rehearsals and model forecasts like 'The Model.' France's Monroe surged to 13.4% following the March unveiling of operatic "Regarde!," evoking recent winner momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.2% on the emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from early February's Dansk Melodi Grand Prix. Greece's Akylas at 6.5% gains from "Ferto's" national final energy, and Australia's Delta Goodrem at 6.4% benefits from star power in "Eclipse." With national selections wrapping up and Vienna semis on May 12/14, preview buzz and allocation draws will drive further shifts in this fluid market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 35.7%
法國 13.4%
丹麥 10.2%
澳洲 6.5%
$53,110,686 交易量
$53,110,686 交易量

芬蘭
36%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
6%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

烏克蘭
2%

義大利
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅地亞
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

比利時
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英國
1%

波蘭
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%
芬蘭 35.7%
法國 13.4%
丹麥 10.2%
澳洲 6.5%
$53,110,686 交易量
$53,110,686 交易量

芬蘭
36%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
6%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

烏克蘭
2%

義大利
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅地亞
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

比利時
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英國
1%

波蘭
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by its infectious chorus, dynamic staging potential, and rare jury-televote balance highlighted in recent rehearsals and model forecasts like 'The Model.' France's Monroe surged to 13.4% following the March unveiling of operatic "Regarde!," evoking recent winner momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.2% on the emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from early February's Dansk Melodi Grand Prix. Greece's Akylas at 6.5% gains from "Ferto's" national final energy, and Australia's Delta Goodrem at 6.4% benefits from star power in "Eclipse." With national selections wrapping up and Vienna semis on May 12/14, preview buzz and allocation draws will drive further shifts in this fluid market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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