Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 hinges on historical frontrunners like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and recent standouts such as Croatia, buoyed by strong televote and jury scores in past contests. The market is highly speculative this far out, with no national selections underway until late 2025—positions largely reflect perennial strengths, Big Five auto-qualification advantages for France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK, and home-host boosts for the Eurovision 2025 winner in Basel this May. Geopolitical narratives and entry quality from formats like Melodifestivalen or Vidbir will drive early momentum, while the May 2025 finale serves as the pivotal catalyst for host determination and refreshed odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$56,993 交易量

Finland
90%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
25%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Germany
13%

Portugal
13%

Poland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Belgium
12%

Lithuania
11%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
9%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%
$56,993 交易量

Finland
90%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
25%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Germany
13%

Portugal
13%

Poland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Belgium
12%

Lithuania
11%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
9%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 hinges on historical frontrunners like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and recent standouts such as Croatia, buoyed by strong televote and jury scores in past contests. The market is highly speculative this far out, with no national selections underway until late 2025—positions largely reflect perennial strengths, Big Five auto-qualification advantages for France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK, and home-host boosts for the Eurovision 2025 winner in Basel this May. Geopolitical narratives and entry quality from formats like Melodifestivalen or Vidbir will drive early momentum, while the May 2025 finale serves as the pivotal catalyst for host determination and refreshed odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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