Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·維拉 100.0%
羅納德·安東尼奧·翁蘇埃塔 <1%
羅西奧·亞歷杭德拉·莫利納 <1%
路易斯·羅伯托·佩羅貢 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量

羅納德·安東尼奧·翁蘇埃塔
否

羅西奧·亞歷杭德拉·莫利納
否

路易斯·羅伯托·佩羅貢
否

埃德加·哈維爾·羅德里格斯
否

Cristian Tastaca
否

拉蒙·達扎
否

Francisco Javier Bellott
否

曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·維拉
是

卡洛斯·薩瓦雷塔
否

荷塞·卡洛斯·桑切斯·維拉薩因
否
曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·維拉 100.0%
羅納德·安東尼奧·翁蘇埃塔 <1%
羅西奧·亞歷杭德拉·莫利納 <1%
路易斯·羅伯托·佩羅貢 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量

羅納德·安東尼奧·翁蘇埃塔
否

羅西奧·亞歷杭德拉·莫利納
否

路易斯·羅伯托·佩羅貢
否

埃德加·哈維爾·羅德里格斯
否

Cristian Tastaca
否

拉蒙·達扎
否

Francisco Javier Bellott
否

曼弗雷德·雷耶斯·維拉
是

卡洛斯·薩瓦雷塔
否

荷塞·卡洛斯·桑切斯·維拉薩因
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市場開放時間: Jan 20, 2026, 8:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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