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NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?

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NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?

2% 機率
Polymarket
最新
2% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double in the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament, driven by historical scarcity—only 10 official instances across decades of March Madness—and zero occurrences through the First Four, first/second rounds, Sweet 16, and Elite Eight despite 60-plus games played. With defenses intensifying in knockout stages, versatile stat-stuffers rarely hit 10+ in points, rebounds, and assists simultaneously amid tighter rotations and lower possessions. Only three games remain: Final Four semifinals on April 4 in Indianapolis and the championship on April 6, minimizing opportunities. A realistic upset would require an MVP-level explosion from a top playmaker like a high-usage guard or forward in a lopsided matchup, though no one has approached the line recently per official box scores.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,401
結束日期
2026-04-07
市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double in the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament, driven by historical scarcity—only 10 official instances across decades of March Madness—and zero occurrences through the First Four, first/second rounds, Sweet 16, and Elite Eight despite 60-plus games played. With defenses intensifying in knockout stages, versatile stat-stuffers rarely hit 10+ in points, rebounds, and assists simultaneously amid tighter rotations and lower possessions. Only three games remain: Final Four semifinals on April 4 in Indianapolis and the championship on April 6, minimizing opportunities. A realistic upset would require an MVP-level explosion from a top playmaker like a high-usage guard or forward in a lopsided matchup, though no one has approached the line recently per official box scores.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,401
結束日期
2026-04-07
市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.