Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward Apple (AAPL) closing above $225 by March 31, with yes shares trading at 55% implied probability, reflecting optimism amid a tech sector rally fueled by AI enthusiasm and strong services revenue. AAPL shares have surged 8% this month to $223 intraday, buoyed by Vision Pro launch buzz and China sales rebounding 12% YoY in February per official data, offsetting EU antitrust headwinds. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision—traders eye dot plot for cut signals—and upcoming CPI release March 12, where hotter inflation could pressure Nasdaq multiples. Historical EOM precedent shows AAPL averaging +2.5% March gains since 2019, supporting bullish consensus backed by $2.5B real-money wagers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$282,902 交易量
$210
98%
$220
98%
230美元
88%
$240
78%
250美元
48%
$260
27%
270美元
14%
280美元
13%
$290
2%
300美元
1%
310美元
1%
320美元
1%
$330
<1%
$282,902 交易量
$210
98%
$220
98%
230美元
88%
$240
78%
250美元
48%
$260
27%
270美元
14%
280美元
13%
$290
2%
300美元
1%
310美元
1%
320美元
1%
$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward Apple (AAPL) closing above $225 by March 31, with yes shares trading at 55% implied probability, reflecting optimism amid a tech sector rally fueled by AI enthusiasm and strong services revenue. AAPL shares have surged 8% this month to $223 intraday, buoyed by Vision Pro launch buzz and China sales rebounding 12% YoY in February per official data, offsetting EU antitrust headwinds. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision—traders eye dot plot for cut signals—and upcoming CPI release March 12, where hotter inflation could pressure Nasdaq multiples. Historical EOM precedent shows AAPL averaging +2.5% March gains since 2019, supporting bullish consensus backed by $2.5B real-money wagers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions