Trader consensus prices Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner nearly even at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Wimbledon title, underscoring their fierce rivalry atop the ATP rankings amid dominant grass-court pedigrees. Sinner's breakthrough 2025 Wimbledon triumph over Alcaraz in the final—his first on grass—paired with his recent Indian Wells Masters 1000 victory over Medvedev and Miami final berth against Jiří Lehečka, has traders viewing him as equally capable on the slick surface. Alcaraz counters with back-to-back prior Wimbledon crowns, a career Grand Slam completed via his Australian Open 2026 final win over Djokovic, and all-court explosiveness suiting grass. Djokovic lags at 7.2% amid age-related concerns, while risers like João Fonseca (2.3%, ATP ~40) add longshot intrigue with rapid ascent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 37%
揚尼克·辛納 36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 7.2%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 3.5%
$2,577,045 交易量
$2,577,045 交易量
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯
37%
揚尼克·辛納
36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
7%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
3%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
2%
Jack Draper
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
2%
本·謝爾頓
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
洛倫佐·穆塞蒂
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
烏戈·亨伯特
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
<1%
亞瑟·菲斯
<1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
湯米·保羅
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
<1%
阿列克謝·波皮林
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科爾達
<1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
湯瑪什·馬哈奇
<1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 37%
揚尼克·辛納 36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 7.2%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 3.5%
$2,577,045 交易量
$2,577,045 交易量
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯
37%
揚尼克·辛納
36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
7%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
3%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
2%
Jack Draper
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
2%
本·謝爾頓
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
洛倫佐·穆塞蒂
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
烏戈·亨伯特
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
<1%
亞瑟·菲斯
<1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
湯米·保羅
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
<1%
阿列克謝·波皮林
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科爾達
<1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
湯瑪什·馬哈奇
<1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner nearly even at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Wimbledon title, underscoring their fierce rivalry atop the ATP rankings amid dominant grass-court pedigrees. Sinner's breakthrough 2025 Wimbledon triumph over Alcaraz in the final—his first on grass—paired with his recent Indian Wells Masters 1000 victory over Medvedev and Miami final berth against Jiří Lehečka, has traders viewing him as equally capable on the slick surface. Alcaraz counters with back-to-back prior Wimbledon crowns, a career Grand Slam completed via his Australian Open 2026 final win over Djokovic, and all-court explosiveness suiting grass. Djokovic lags at 7.2% amid age-related concerns, while risers like João Fonseca (2.3%, ATP ~40) add longshot intrigue with rapid ascent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions