Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 F1 season under new power unit regulations has propelled teammates George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus, with Russell at 46.5% implied probability despite trailing in standings 63-72 points after three Grands Prix. Antonelli's stunning second consecutive victory and pole at the Japanese Grand Prix three days ago—his maiden championship lead—boosted his 31.6% odds via masterful strategy post-safety car, while Russell's consistent podiums and pre-season hype as the experienced frontrunner sustain his edge amid intra-team rivalry reminiscent of Mercedes' 2014-16 eras. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc lags at 5.3% on weaker pace, underscoring Mercedes' early energy management superiority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於喬治·羅素 47%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 5.3%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里 4.3%
$72,686,034 交易量
$72,686,034 交易量
喬治·羅素
47%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
5%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
4%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
2%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
蘭多·諾里斯
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
喬治·羅素 47%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 5.3%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里 4.3%
$72,686,034 交易量
$72,686,034 交易量
喬治·羅素
47%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
5%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
4%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
2%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
蘭多·諾里斯
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 F1 season under new power unit regulations has propelled teammates George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus, with Russell at 46.5% implied probability despite trailing in standings 63-72 points after three Grands Prix. Antonelli's stunning second consecutive victory and pole at the Japanese Grand Prix three days ago—his maiden championship lead—boosted his 31.6% odds via masterful strategy post-safety car, while Russell's consistent podiums and pre-season hype as the experienced frontrunner sustain his edge amid intra-team rivalry reminiscent of Mercedes' 2014-16 eras. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc lags at 5.3% on weaker pace, underscoring Mercedes' early energy management superiority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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