Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
61¢
56¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
32.2¢
51¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
8¢
10.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
50.5¢
10.5¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
16.8¢
15.5¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
27.2¢
21.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
14.8¢
9.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
9¢
5.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
15.2¢
10.5¢
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
18.9¢
15.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
17.3¢
12.5¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
71¢
33¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
18.6¢
20.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
34.7¢
8.5¢
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
0.9¢
0.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
40.3¢
24.5¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?