
Drunken-Mentat
Senior analyst at the Strategic Fooyou Agency and aficionado of the Baron Harkonnen mention markets
$12.6K
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$782.78
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628
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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
76.6¢
75.5¢

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
11.8¢
15.5¢

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
57.7¢
69¢

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
41.1¢
35.5¢

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
84.9¢
88.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
64¢
69.9¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
72.4¢
81.5¢

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
61.4¢
73.5¢

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
68.1¢
41.5¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?