John Fleming, Louisiana State Treasurer and former U.S. Representative, remains an active candidate in the 2026 Republican Senate primary runoff against Congresswoman Julia Letlow, with the contest set for late June. He continues to hold campaign events, participate in debates, and maintain his filing status with no public statements signaling withdrawal by the June 26 resolution deadline. Recent scrutiny over his simultaneous paid role with a Washington lobbying firm has drawn opposition criticism but has not prompted any exit indications or shifts in his public schedule. Trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% probability for "No" aligns with the absence of structural barriers such as party pressure or polling collapse sufficient to force a dropout in the short window remaining.