Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary victory with 82% of the vote, coupled with his $23 million fundraising haul through late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. Recent April polls, including Texas Public Opinion Research (Abbott 48%, Democrat Gina Hinojosa 43%) and University of Texas/Texas Politics Project (44%-38%), show a competitive matchup but consistent GOP leads in the registered voter and likely voter samples. Texas's Republican governorship since 1995, Abbott's border security focus, and historical GOP overperformance relative to polls bolster the high implied probability, despite the race's tightening dynamics and potential for shifts from turnout or late endorsements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Governor Election Winner
Texas Governor Election Winner
$11,604 KL.
$11,604 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
80%
Democrat
16%
$11,604 KL.
$11,604 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$5,697 KL.
80%
Democrat
$5,907 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary victory with 82% of the vote, coupled with his $23 million fundraising haul through late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. Recent April polls, including Texas Public Opinion Research (Abbott 48%, Democrat Gina Hinojosa 43%) and University of Texas/Texas Politics Project (44%-38%), show a competitive matchup but consistent GOP leads in the registered voter and likely voter samples. Texas's Republican governorship since 1995, Abbott's border security focus, and historical GOP overperformance relative to polls bolster the high implied probability, despite the race's tightening dynamics and potential for shifts from turnout or late endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,604Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary victory with 82% of the vote, coupled with his $23 million fundraising haul through late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. Recent April polls, including Texas Public Opinion Research (Abbott 48%, Democrat Gina Hinojosa 43%) and University of Texas/Texas Politics Project (44%-38%), show a competitive matchup but consistent GOP leads in the registered voter and likely voter samples. Texas's Republican governorship since 1995, Abbott's border security focus, and historical GOP overperformance relative to polls bolster the high implied probability, despite the race's tightening dynamics and potential for shifts from turnout or late endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$11,604Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary victory with 82% of the vote, coupled with his $23 million fundraising haul through late 2025, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. Recent April polls, including Texas Public Opinion Research (Abbott 48%, Democrat Gina Hinojosa 43%) and University of Texas/Texas Politics Project (44%-38%), show a competitive matchup but consistent GOP leads in the registered voter and likely voter samples. Texas's Republican governorship since 1995, Abbott's border security focus, and historical GOP overperformance relative to polls bolster the high implied probability, despite the race's tightening dynamics and potential for shifts from turnout or late endorsements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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