The wide-open nature of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination keeps the vice-presidential market tightly bunched, with no candidate exceeding 37 percent implied probability and more than a dozen names clustered between 25 and 36 percent. Traders weigh ticket-balancing factors such as regional appeal, ideological positioning, governing experience, and demographic reach against a field that includes both established officeholders and high-name-recognition outsiders. Recent midterm positioning, early fundraising signals, and shifts in party coalition priorities have yet to consolidate support behind any single profile. Separation could emerge from formal presidential candidacies, swing-state polling trends, or convention dynamics that clarify the likely nominee and the strategic priorities for a running mate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDemocratic VP Nominee 2028
Chelsea Clinton 29.8%
Jon Stewart 27.4%
Elissa Slotkin 15.6%
Zohran Mamdani 13.1%
$17,665 KL.
$17,665 KL.
Gavin Newsom
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
37%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Kamala Harris
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
16%
Andy Beshear
5%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
24%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
27%
Gina Raimondo
25%
Zohran Mamdani
13%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
<1%
Jared Polis
4%
Jon Stewart
27%
Barack Obama
25%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
4%
Phil Murphy
8%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
30%
Chelsea Clinton
30%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
9%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
25%
Kim Kardashian
25%
Chris Murphy
24%
Ruben Gallego
26%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
16%
Chelsea Clinton 29.8%
Jon Stewart 27.4%
Elissa Slotkin 15.6%
Zohran Mamdani 13.1%
$17,665 KL.
$17,665 KL.
Gavin Newsom
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
37%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Kamala Harris
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
16%
Andy Beshear
5%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
24%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
27%
Gina Raimondo
25%
Zohran Mamdani
13%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
<1%
Jared Polis
4%
Jon Stewart
27%
Barack Obama
25%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
4%
Phil Murphy
8%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
30%
Chelsea Clinton
30%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
9%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
25%
Kim Kardashian
25%
Chris Murphy
24%
Ruben Gallego
26%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
16%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open nature of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination keeps the vice-presidential market tightly bunched, with no candidate exceeding 37 percent implied probability and more than a dozen names clustered between 25 and 36 percent. Traders weigh ticket-balancing factors such as regional appeal, ideological positioning, governing experience, and demographic reach against a field that includes both established officeholders and high-name-recognition outsiders. Recent midterm positioning, early fundraising signals, and shifts in party coalition priorities have yet to consolidate support behind any single profile. Separation could emerge from formal presidential candidacies, swing-state polling trends, or convention dynamics that clarify the likely nominee and the strategic priorities for a running mate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp