Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5 general election, reflecting seat projections showing a PQ minority government (53–61 seats) despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) holding a slim popular vote lead (32% vs. PQ's 29%) in the latest Pallas Data poll from April 13–14. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid ongoing voter backlash over healthcare delays, housing shortages, and immigration policy, exacerbated by François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's unelectoral honeymoon as new leader since April 12. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from strong francophone support in Quebec City and Saguenay ridings, enabling efficient seat gains, while PLQ's Charles Milliard gains in Montreal but faces vote inefficiency; recent PQ by-election victories underscore this dynamic, with six months until polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 50%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$445,298 KL.
$445,298 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
50%
PLQ
37%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 50%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$445,298 KL.
$445,298 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$46,882 KL.
50%
PLQ
$52,249 KL.
37%
CAQ
$43,834 KL.
9%
PCQ
$146,717 KL.
1%
PVQ
$106,954 KL.
<1%
QS
$48,662 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5 general election, reflecting seat projections showing a PQ minority government (53–61 seats) despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) holding a slim popular vote lead (32% vs. PQ's 29%) in the latest Pallas Data poll from April 13–14. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid ongoing voter backlash over healthcare delays, housing shortages, and immigration policy, exacerbated by François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's unelectoral honeymoon as new leader since April 12. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from strong francophone support in Quebec City and Saguenay ridings, enabling efficient seat gains, while PLQ's Charles Milliard gains in Montreal but faces vote inefficiency; recent PQ by-election victories underscore this dynamic, with six months until polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$445,298Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5 general election, reflecting seat projections showing a PQ minority government (53–61 seats) despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) holding a slim popular vote lead (32% vs. PQ's 29%) in the latest Pallas Data poll from April 13–14. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid ongoing voter backlash over healthcare delays, housing shortages, and immigration policy, exacerbated by François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's unelectoral honeymoon as new leader since April 12. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from strong francophone support in Quebec City and Saguenay ridings, enabling efficient seat gains, while PLQ's Charles Milliard gains in Montreal but faces vote inefficiency; recent PQ by-election victories underscore this dynamic, with six months until polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$445,298Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5 general election, reflecting seat projections showing a PQ minority government (53–61 seats) despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) holding a slim popular vote lead (32% vs. PQ's 29%) in the latest Pallas Data poll from April 13–14. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid ongoing voter backlash over healthcare delays, housing shortages, and immigration policy, exacerbated by François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's unelectoral honeymoon as new leader since April 12. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from strong francophone support in Quebec City and Saguenay ridings, enabling efficient seat gains, while PLQ's Charles Milliard gains in Montreal but faces vote inefficiency; recent PQ by-election victories underscore this dynamic, with six months until polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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