Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies' April 26-27 survey released May 5, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 32% among decided voters, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 62.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-post system due to its efficient vote distribution among francophones (39%) and outside Montreal. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), at 16%, remains sidelined following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, with limited recovery despite slight gains. Voter concerns over healthcare and cost of living dominate, fueling anti-incumbent sentiment ahead of the October 5 election, while PLQ holds strong non-francophone support but trails in seat projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 63%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$485,191 KL.
$485,191 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
63%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 63%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$485,191 KL.
$485,191 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$50,739 KL.
63%
PLQ
$55,718 KL.
30%
CAQ
$55,520 KL.
9%
PCQ
$155,455 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$113,039 KL.
<1%
QS
$54,720 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies' April 26-27 survey released May 5, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 32% among decided voters, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 62.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-post system due to its efficient vote distribution among francophones (39%) and outside Montreal. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), at 16%, remains sidelined following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, with limited recovery despite slight gains. Voter concerns over healthcare and cost of living dominate, fueling anti-incumbent sentiment ahead of the October 5 election, while PLQ holds strong non-francophone support but trails in seat projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$485,191Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies' April 26-27 survey released May 5, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 32% among decided voters, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 62.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-post system due to its efficient vote distribution among francophones (39%) and outside Montreal. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), at 16%, remains sidelined following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, with limited recovery despite slight gains. Voter concerns over healthcare and cost of living dominate, fueling anti-incumbent sentiment ahead of the October 5 election, while PLQ holds strong non-francophone support but trails in seat projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$485,191Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies' April 26-27 survey released May 5, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 32% among decided voters, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 62.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's first-past-post system due to its efficient vote distribution among francophones (39%) and outside Montreal. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), at 16%, remains sidelined following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, with limited recovery despite slight gains. Voter concerns over healthcare and cost of living dominate, fueling anti-incumbent sentiment ahead of the October 5 election, while PLQ holds strong non-francophone support but trails in seat projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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