Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, with Linke often edging the lead around 20 percent while AfD, CDU, and Grüne trade positions just behind. This narrow spread among multiple parties directly sustains the tight market on second place, as small shifts in turnout or late movement among undecided voters can reorder the ranking. The CDU's recent leadership change after incumbent mayor Kai Wegner stepped aside has introduced additional uncertainty without producing a clear rebound in its numbers. Traders therefore price the contest as highly sensitive to final-week developments, including any consolidation among center-left or protest voters that could separate the second- through fourth-placed parties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLinke 31%
AfD 27%
CDU 25%
Grüne 12%
$17,786 KL.
$17,786 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Linke
37%
AfD
27%
CDU
25%
Grüne
12%
SPD
2%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke 31%
AfD 27%
CDU 25%
Grüne 12%
$17,786 KL.
$17,786 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Linke
$3,828 KL.
37%
AfD
$3,270 KL.
27%
CDU
$2,798 KL.
25%
Grüne
$3,712 KL.
12%
SPD
$2,225 KL.
2%
FDP
$613 KL.
<1%
FW
$640 KL.
<1%
BSW
$699 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, with Linke often edging the lead around 20 percent while AfD, CDU, and Grüne trade positions just behind. This narrow spread among multiple parties directly sustains the tight market on second place, as small shifts in turnout or late movement among undecided voters can reorder the ranking. The CDU's recent leadership change after incumbent mayor Kai Wegner stepped aside has introduced additional uncertainty without producing a clear rebound in its numbers. Traders therefore price the contest as highly sensitive to final-week developments, including any consolidation among center-left or protest voters that could separate the second- through fourth-placed parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,786Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, with Linke often edging the lead around 20 percent while AfD, CDU, and Grüne trade positions just behind. This narrow spread among multiple parties directly sustains the tight market on second place, as small shifts in turnout or late movement among undecided voters can reorder the ranking. The CDU's recent leadership change after incumbent mayor Kai Wegner stepped aside has introduced additional uncertainty without producing a clear rebound in its numbers. Traders therefore price the contest as highly sensitive to final-week developments, including any consolidation among center-left or protest voters that could separate the second- through fourth-placed parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$17,786Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, with Linke often edging the lead around 20 percent while AfD, CDU, and Grüne trade positions just behind. This narrow spread among multiple parties directly sustains the tight market on second place, as small shifts in turnout or late movement among undecided voters can reorder the ranking. The CDU's recent leadership change after incumbent mayor Kai Wegner stepped aside has introduced additional uncertainty without producing a clear rebound in its numbers. Traders therefore price the contest as highly sensitive to final-week developments, including any consolidation among center-left or protest voters that could separate the second- through fourth-placed parties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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