Berlin's September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field in which CDU, Grüne, Linke, AfD and SPD each poll in the mid-to-high teens, reflecting Berlin's proportional representation rules and diverse voter base. Current trader pricing places CDU ahead but with Grüne and Linke close behind, consistent with spring 2026 surveys showing no party exceeding roughly 20 percent amid criticism of the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition on infrastructure reliability and urban services. National dynamics under Chancellor Merz's CDU-led federal government and spillover from other 2026 state contests add volatility, while AfD's steady but capped support and Linke's urban mobilization keep the contest open. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among younger or eastern-district voters, or clearer differentiation on housing and economic issues, could widen the narrow gaps reflected in current market consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử tiểu bang Berlin
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử tiểu bang Berlin
Linke 39%
CDU 29%
Grüne 16.0%
AfD 13.3%
$3,036,012 KL.
$3,036,012 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Linke
39%
CDU
29%
Grüne
16%
AfD
13%
SPD
5%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
Linke 39%
CDU 29%
Grüne 16.0%
AfD 13.3%
$3,036,012 KL.
$3,036,012 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Linke
$97,677 KL.
39%
CDU
$118,542 KL.
29%
Grüne
$119,814 KL.
16%
AfD
$2,264,527 KL.
13%
SPD
$350,825 KL.
5%
BSW
$48,502 KL.
<1%
FDP
$20,953 KL.
<1%
FW
$15,172 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Berlin's September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field in which CDU, Grüne, Linke, AfD and SPD each poll in the mid-to-high teens, reflecting Berlin's proportional representation rules and diverse voter base. Current trader pricing places CDU ahead but with Grüne and Linke close behind, consistent with spring 2026 surveys showing no party exceeding roughly 20 percent amid criticism of the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition on infrastructure reliability and urban services. National dynamics under Chancellor Merz's CDU-led federal government and spillover from other 2026 state contests add volatility, while AfD's steady but capped support and Linke's urban mobilization keep the contest open. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among younger or eastern-district voters, or clearer differentiation on housing and economic issues, could widen the narrow gaps reflected in current market consensus.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,036,012Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Berlin's September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field in which CDU, Grüne, Linke, AfD and SPD each poll in the mid-to-high teens, reflecting Berlin's proportional representation rules and diverse voter base. Current trader pricing places CDU ahead but with Grüne and Linke close behind, consistent with spring 2026 surveys showing no party exceeding roughly 20 percent amid criticism of the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition on infrastructure reliability and urban services. National dynamics under Chancellor Merz's CDU-led federal government and spillover from other 2026 state contests add volatility, while AfD's steady but capped support and Linke's urban mobilization keep the contest open. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among younger or eastern-district voters, or clearer differentiation on housing and economic issues, could widen the narrow gaps reflected in current market consensus.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$3,036,012Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Berlin's September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field in which CDU, Grüne, Linke, AfD and SPD each poll in the mid-to-high teens, reflecting Berlin's proportional representation rules and diverse voter base. Current trader pricing places CDU ahead but with Grüne and Linke close behind, consistent with spring 2026 surveys showing no party exceeding roughly 20 percent amid criticism of the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition on infrastructure reliability and urban services. National dynamics under Chancellor Merz's CDU-led federal government and spillover from other 2026 state contests add volatility, while AfD's steady but capped support and Linke's urban mobilization keep the contest open. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among younger or eastern-district voters, or clearer differentiation on housing and economic issues, could widen the narrow gaps reflected in current market consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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