OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5.x release cadence, combined with a mid-May Codex backend log canary referencing “gpt-5.6” and an early-June internal note from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki calling the model a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5, forms the core driver of trader sentiment. GPT-5.5 itself launched in late April and remains the only officially documented frontier model, yet prediction markets price an 80-99% chance of a publicly available GPT-5.6 variant (including Pro or Instant tiers) before the end of June. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s recent Claude updates and the historical pattern of 4–8 week intervals between 5.x checkpoints reinforce expectations of a late-June rollout, though OpenAI has issued no system card, benchmarks, or official timeline. Traders are watching for any API model-list update or ChatGPT rollout announcement as the next resolution catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$991,482 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
79%
June 23
24%
July 31
95%
$991,482 KL.
June 30
$137,129 KL.
79%
June 23
$16,859 KL.
24%
July 31
$212,083 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5.x release cadence, combined with a mid-May Codex backend log canary referencing “gpt-5.6” and an early-June internal note from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki calling the model a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5, forms the core driver of trader sentiment. GPT-5.5 itself launched in late April and remains the only officially documented frontier model, yet prediction markets price an 80-99% chance of a publicly available GPT-5.6 variant (including Pro or Instant tiers) before the end of June. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s recent Claude updates and the historical pattern of 4–8 week intervals between 5.x checkpoints reinforce expectations of a late-June rollout, though OpenAI has issued no system card, benchmarks, or official timeline. Traders are watching for any API model-list update or ChatGPT rollout announcement as the next resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$991,482Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5.x release cadence, combined with a mid-May Codex backend log canary referencing “gpt-5.6” and an early-June internal note from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki calling the model a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5, forms the core driver of trader sentiment. GPT-5.5 itself launched in late April and remains the only officially documented frontier model, yet prediction markets price an 80-99% chance of a publicly available GPT-5.6 variant (including Pro or Instant tiers) before the end of June. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s recent Claude updates and the historical pattern of 4–8 week intervals between 5.x checkpoints reinforce expectations of a late-June rollout, though OpenAI has issued no system card, benchmarks, or official timeline. Traders are watching for any API model-list update or ChatGPT rollout announcement as the next resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$991,482Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5.x release cadence, combined with a mid-May Codex backend log canary referencing “gpt-5.6” and an early-June internal note from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki calling the model a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5, forms the core driver of trader sentiment. GPT-5.5 itself launched in late April and remains the only officially documented frontier model, yet prediction markets price an 80-99% chance of a publicly available GPT-5.6 variant (including Pro or Instant tiers) before the end of June. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s recent Claude updates and the historical pattern of 4–8 week intervals between 5.x checkpoints reinforce expectations of a late-June rollout, though OpenAI has issued no system card, benchmarks, or official timeline. Traders are watching for any API model-list update or ChatGPT rollout announcement as the next resolution catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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