OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtApril 23 100.0%
Prio to or on April 8 <1%
April 9 <1%
April 10 <1%
$1,556,759 KL.
$1,556,759 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
Prio to or on April 8
No
April 9
No
April 10
No
April 11
No
April 12
No
April 13
No
April 14
No
April 15
No
April 16
No
April 17
No
April 18
No
April 19
No
April 20
No
April 21
No
April 22
No
April 23
Yes
April 24
No
April 25
No
April 26
No
April 27
No
April 28
No
April 29
No
April 30
No
No release by April 30
No
April 23 100.0%
Prio to or on April 8 <1%
April 9 <1%
April 10 <1%
$1,556,759 KL.
$1,556,759 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
Prio to or on April 8
$2,103 KL.
No
April 9
$29 KL.
No
April 10
$125 KL.
No
April 11
$132 KL.
No
April 12
$230 KL.
No
April 13
$305 KL.
No
April 14
$1,920 KL.
No
April 15
$2,338 KL.
No
April 16
$52,118 KL.
No
April 17
$3,969 KL.
No
April 18
$2,130 KL.
No
April 19
$3,448 KL.
No
April 20
$5,443 KL.
No
April 21
$108,215 KL.
No
April 22
$92,761 KL.
No
April 23
$767,432 KL.
Yes
April 24
$70,565 KL.
No
April 25
$28,574 KL.
No
April 26
$26,130 KL.
No
April 27
$27,525 KL.
No
April 28
$50,569 KL.
No
April 29
$43,978 KL.
No
April 30
$71,569 KL.
No
No release by April 30
$195,151 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,556,759Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,556,759Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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