Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for Gold (GC) active month futures settling above $4,600 by end-June 2026, with 58% for above $4,800, reflecting consensus for mild upside from current June contract levels near $4,725/oz amid balanced risks. Recent downside pressure stems from April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% YoY—the highest since May 2023—bolstering USD at index 98.3 and dimming Fed rate cut odds, with federal funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Countering this, Q1 central bank purchases hit 244 tonnes led by China and Poland, sustaining demand. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI release on June 10 and the June 11-12 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could cap gains or prompt hawkish signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$70,877 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$8,000
3%
$7,000
2%
$6,500
2%
$6,200
4%
$6,000
5%
$5,800
8%
$5,600
10%
$5,400
14%
$5,200
25%
$5,000
33%
$4,800
54%
$4,600
62%
$70,877 KL.
$8,000
$2,684 KL.
3%
$7,000
$22,446 KL.
2%
$6,500
$2,430 KL.
2%
$6,200
$7,698 KL.
4%
$6,000
$2,722 KL.
5%
$5,800
$7,528 KL.
8%
$5,600
$2,429 KL.
10%
$5,400
$1,316 KL.
14%
$5,200
$2,937 KL.
25%
$5,000
$1,663 KL.
33%
$4,800
$8,057 KL.
54%
$4,600
$8,968 KL.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for Gold (GC) active month futures settling above $4,600 by end-June 2026, with 58% for above $4,800, reflecting consensus for mild upside from current June contract levels near $4,725/oz amid balanced risks. Recent downside pressure stems from April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% YoY—the highest since May 2023—bolstering USD at index 98.3 and dimming Fed rate cut odds, with federal funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Countering this, Q1 central bank purchases hit 244 tonnes led by China and Poland, sustaining demand. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI release on June 10 and the June 11-12 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could cap gains or prompt hawkish signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$70,877Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for Gold (GC) active month futures settling above $4,600 by end-June 2026, with 58% for above $4,800, reflecting consensus for mild upside from current June contract levels near $4,725/oz amid balanced risks. Recent downside pressure stems from April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% YoY—the highest since May 2023—bolstering USD at index 98.3 and dimming Fed rate cut odds, with federal funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Countering this, Q1 central bank purchases hit 244 tonnes led by China and Poland, sustaining demand. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI release on June 10 and the June 11-12 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could cap gains or prompt hawkish signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Khối lượng
$70,877Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for Gold (GC) active month futures settling above $4,600 by end-June 2026, with 58% for above $4,800, reflecting consensus for mild upside from current June contract levels near $4,725/oz amid balanced risks. Recent downside pressure stems from April 2026 CPI rising 3.8% YoY—the highest since May 2023—bolstering USD at index 98.3 and dimming Fed rate cut odds, with federal funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Countering this, Q1 central bank purchases hit 244 tonnes led by China and Poland, sustaining demand. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI release on June 10 and the June 11-12 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could cap gains or prompt hawkish signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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