Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, closely tracking the June 2026 futures contract at around $84 per barrel amid persistent Middle East supply risks. Escalating Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz uncertainties have underpinned elevated prices, with IEA warnings of a supply crunch exacerbating bullish sentiment despite a recent 11% futures plunge on April 17 news of a prospective Hormuz agreement. OPEC+ production hikes of 206,000 barrels per day starting May, alongside EIA data showing crude inventories down 913,000 barrels to 463.8 million—1% above the five-year average—have tempered extremes, concentrating odds in the $77-$84 range at 21%. Upcoming EIA weekly reports and OPEC+ deliberations will be pivotal catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 50%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 12.5%
$63-$70 10.4%
$136,608 KL.
$136,608 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
13%
$77-$84
21%
>$84
50%
>$84 50%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 12.5%
$63-$70 10.4%
$136,608 KL.
$136,608 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$16,148 KL.
3%
$42-$49
$4,551 KL.
2%
$49-$56
$5,737 KL.
2%
$56-$63
$5,384 KL.
4%
$63-$70
$18,877 KL.
10%
$70-$77
$7,467 KL.
13%
$77-$84
$10,655 KL.
21%
>$84
$67,790 KL.
50%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, closely tracking the June 2026 futures contract at around $84 per barrel amid persistent Middle East supply risks. Escalating Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz uncertainties have underpinned elevated prices, with IEA warnings of a supply crunch exacerbating bullish sentiment despite a recent 11% futures plunge on April 17 news of a prospective Hormuz agreement. OPEC+ production hikes of 206,000 barrels per day starting May, alongside EIA data showing crude inventories down 913,000 barrels to 463.8 million—1% above the five-year average—have tempered extremes, concentrating odds in the $77-$84 range at 21%. Upcoming EIA weekly reports and OPEC+ deliberations will be pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$136,608Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, closely tracking the June 2026 futures contract at around $84 per barrel amid persistent Middle East supply risks. Escalating Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz uncertainties have underpinned elevated prices, with IEA warnings of a supply crunch exacerbating bullish sentiment despite a recent 11% futures plunge on April 17 news of a prospective Hormuz agreement. OPEC+ production hikes of 206,000 barrels per day starting May, alongside EIA data showing crude inventories down 913,000 barrels to 463.8 million—1% above the five-year average—have tempered extremes, concentrating odds in the $77-$84 range at 21%. Upcoming EIA weekly reports and OPEC+ deliberations will be pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Khối lượng
$136,608Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, closely tracking the June 2026 futures contract at around $84 per barrel amid persistent Middle East supply risks. Escalating Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz uncertainties have underpinned elevated prices, with IEA warnings of a supply crunch exacerbating bullish sentiment despite a recent 11% futures plunge on April 17 news of a prospective Hormuz agreement. OPEC+ production hikes of 206,000 barrels per day starting May, alongside EIA data showing crude inventories down 913,000 barrels to 463.8 million—1% above the five-year average—have tempered extremes, concentrating odds in the $77-$84 range at 21%. Upcoming EIA weekly reports and OPEC+ deliberations will be pivotal catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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