Renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, including recent crossfire exchanges, have driven WTI crude oil (CL) June 2026 futures (CLM26) to settle at $94.68 per barrel on May 8, embedding a geopolitical risk premium amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. This counters softening global demand growth projections of 0.6 million barrels per day for 2026 and U.S. crude inventories at 457.2 million barrels—1% above the five-year average per latest EIA data—alongside bearish outlooks like J.P. Morgan's $60/bbl Brent average for the year. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics ahead of the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting on production quotas and weekly EIA inventory reports through month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$119,444 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$90
60%
$85
61%
$80
68%
$75
75%
$70
84%
$65
88%
$63
93%
$60
95%
$56
97%
$55
95%
$52
97%
$50
95%
$119,444 KL.
$90
$24,690 KL.
60%
$85
$5,079 KL.
61%
$80
$5,439 KL.
68%
$75
$15,372 KL.
75%
$70
$19,198 KL.
84%
$65
$735 KL.
88%
$63
$8,929 KL.
93%
$60
$20,828 KL.
95%
$56
$4,614 KL.
97%
$55
$2,810 KL.
95%
$52
$4,624 KL.
97%
$50
$7,126 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, including recent crossfire exchanges, have driven WTI crude oil (CL) June 2026 futures (CLM26) to settle at $94.68 per barrel on May 8, embedding a geopolitical risk premium amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. This counters softening global demand growth projections of 0.6 million barrels per day for 2026 and U.S. crude inventories at 457.2 million barrels—1% above the five-year average per latest EIA data—alongside bearish outlooks like J.P. Morgan's $60/bbl Brent average for the year. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics ahead of the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting on production quotas and weekly EIA inventory reports through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,444Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, including recent crossfire exchanges, have driven WTI crude oil (CL) June 2026 futures (CLM26) to settle at $94.68 per barrel on May 8, embedding a geopolitical risk premium amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. This counters softening global demand growth projections of 0.6 million barrels per day for 2026 and U.S. crude inventories at 457.2 million barrels—1% above the five-year average per latest EIA data—alongside bearish outlooks like J.P. Morgan's $60/bbl Brent average for the year. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics ahead of the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting on production quotas and weekly EIA inventory reports through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Khối lượng
$119,444Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRenewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, including recent crossfire exchanges, have driven WTI crude oil (CL) June 2026 futures (CLM26) to settle at $94.68 per barrel on May 8, embedding a geopolitical risk premium amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. This counters softening global demand growth projections of 0.6 million barrels per day for 2026 and U.S. crude inventories at 457.2 million barrels—1% above the five-year average per latest EIA data—alongside bearish outlooks like J.P. Morgan's $60/bbl Brent average for the year. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics ahead of the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting on production quotas and weekly EIA inventory reports through month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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