Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the absence of any member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit and no credible withdrawal referendums or announcements in recent months. The European Union has maintained operational stability, advancing routine legislation like the March 2026 pharmaceutical reforms and updated foreign direct investment regulations, underscoring deep economic integration and institutional resilience amid past challenges such as populist pressures in Hungary and Italy. With over half of current 27 member states required for dissolution per market rules, structural barriers remain high; realistic shifts would demand rapid, coordinated exits triggered by unprecedented crises like severe debt defaults or geopolitical ruptures, though none appear imminent ahead of 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?
$161,975 KL.
$161,975 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$161,975 KL.
$161,975 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the absence of any member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit and no credible withdrawal referendums or announcements in recent months. The European Union has maintained operational stability, advancing routine legislation like the March 2026 pharmaceutical reforms and updated foreign direct investment regulations, underscoring deep economic integration and institutional resilience amid past challenges such as populist pressures in Hungary and Italy. With over half of current 27 member states required for dissolution per market rules, structural barriers remain high; realistic shifts would demand rapid, coordinated exits triggered by unprecedented crises like severe debt defaults or geopolitical ruptures, though none appear imminent ahead of 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$161,975Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the absence of any member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit and no credible withdrawal referendums or announcements in recent months. The European Union has maintained operational stability, advancing routine legislation like the March 2026 pharmaceutical reforms and updated foreign direct investment regulations, underscoring deep economic integration and institutional resilience amid past challenges such as populist pressures in Hungary and Italy. With over half of current 27 member states required for dissolution per market rules, structural barriers remain high; realistic shifts would demand rapid, coordinated exits triggered by unprecedented crises like severe debt defaults or geopolitical ruptures, though none appear imminent ahead of 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$161,975Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the absence of any member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit and no credible withdrawal referendums or announcements in recent months. The European Union has maintained operational stability, advancing routine legislation like the March 2026 pharmaceutical reforms and updated foreign direct investment regulations, underscoring deep economic integration and institutional resilience amid past challenges such as populist pressures in Hungary and Italy. With over half of current 27 member states required for dissolution per market rules, structural barriers remain high; realistic shifts would demand rapid, coordinated exits triggered by unprecedented crises like severe debt defaults or geopolitical ruptures, though none appear imminent ahead of 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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