The EU's treaty-based structure, requiring unanimous member-state consent for fundamental changes under the Treaty on European Union, underpins the 98.5% trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. No recent diplomatic summits, legislative votes, or official statements from the European Council or Commission have signaled any coordinated push for dissolution. Ongoing policy coordination on trade, security, and enlargement continues without existential challenges that would accelerate such an outcome. While a severe, multi-country economic or geopolitical crisis could theoretically prompt emergency treaty revisions, historical precedent shows these processes span years rather than months. Traders price in this institutional inertia and lack of near-term catalysts.