OPEC maintains operational continuity through regular meetings of core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq, which continue coordinating production quotas and reviewing 2027 baselines despite the UAE's May 2026 exit and disruptions from the Iran conflict. Traders assign a 96.8% probability against dissolution because the organization has adapted to prior membership changes while preserving its institutional framework and shared interest in managing global oil supply. Individual quota disputes, such as Iraq's earlier concerns, have not escalated to collective withdrawal. Realistic shifts could still emerge from additional major exits or a breakdown in the broader OPEC+ cooperation ahead of new quota negotiations, though such outcomes would require coordinated action by leading producers that current evidence does not indicate.