Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons, seeking a fourth term in the safely Democratic Delaware U.S. Senate seat he's held since 2010, drives trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory, reflecting the state's consistent leftward tilt—Biden won by 19 points in 2020 and Harris by 15 in 2024—and Republicans' failure to win here since 1994. No recent polls have emerged, but early candidate filings show Coons facing token Democratic primary opposition from Christopher Beardsley on September 15, while Republican John Shulli recently entered the GOP primary field as of mid-April. Scenarios to challenge this include a major Coons scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or national Republican midterm wave, though Delaware's battleground status remains distant ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDelaware Senate Election Winner
Delaware Senate Election Winner

Democrat
93%

Republican
6%

Democrat
93%

Republican
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons, seeking a fourth term in the safely Democratic Delaware U.S. Senate seat he's held since 2010, drives trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory, reflecting the state's consistent leftward tilt—Biden won by 19 points in 2020 and Harris by 15 in 2024—and Republicans' failure to win here since 1994. No recent polls have emerged, but early candidate filings show Coons facing token Democratic primary opposition from Christopher Beardsley on September 15, while Republican John Shulli recently entered the GOP primary field as of mid-April. Scenarios to challenge this include a major Coons scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or national Republican midterm wave, though Delaware's battleground status remains distant ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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