The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 KL.
$3,002,585 KL.
Sep 4, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 KL.
$3,002,585 KL.
Sep 4, 2026
<20
$1,826 KL.
No
20-39
$2,940 KL.
No
40-59
$22,684 KL.
No
60-79
$53,930 KL.
No
80-99
$64,073 KL.
No
100-119
$56,289 KL.
No
120-139
$92,074 KL.
No
140-159
$204,620 KL.
No
160-179
$287,835 KL.
No
180-199
$292,666 KL.
No
200-219
$316,037 KL.
No
220-239
$295,301 KL.
Yes
240-259
$353,336 KL.
No
260-279
$214,354 KL.
No
280-299
$171,545 KL.
No
300-319
$152,609 KL.
No
320-339
$123,321 KL.
No
340-359
$74,586 KL.
No
360-379
$45,415 KL.
No
380-399
$30,194 KL.
No
400-419
$28,412 KL.
No
420-439
$19,228 KL.
No
440-459
$11,776 KL.
No
460-479
$10,528 KL.
No
480-499
$9,607 KL.
No
500+
$67,398 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,002,585Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$3,002,585Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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