Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 31%
No Bond chosen 23.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.5%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,277 KL.
$17,277 KL.
Callum Turner
31%
No Bond chosen
23%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
12%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Tom Holland
3%
James Norton
22%
Harris Dickinson
22%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
22%
Jack Lowdon
28%
Robert James-Collier
30%
Paul Mescal
31%
Pierce Brosnan
29%
Theo James
33%
Callum Turner 31%
No Bond chosen 23.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.5%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,277 KL.
$17,277 KL.
Callum Turner
31%
No Bond chosen
23%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
12%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Tom Holland
3%
James Norton
22%
Harris Dickinson
22%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
22%
Jack Lowdon
28%
Robert James-Collier
30%
Paul Mescal
31%
Pierce Brosnan
29%
Theo James
33%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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