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Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
65.5¢
100¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30.2¢
52.7¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
21.8¢
100¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
19.9¢
100¢
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
39¢
100¢
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
75.5¢
100¢
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
79.9¢
100¢
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
75.6¢
100¢
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
71.6¢
100¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
86¢
100¢
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
79¢
100¢
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
84¢
100¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
30¢
8.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
56¢
0¢
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
65.3¢
0¢
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
49¢
0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
70.8¢
0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
31¢
0¢