johnthek

Tham gia Dec 2024·13 lượt xem

$3,200.47

Giá trị vị thế

$2,050.01

Thắng lớn nhất

5,020

Dự đoán

Lãi/Lỗ

-$128.85

Ngày qua

Thị trường

Hiện tại

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 94¢

1,000.0 cổ phần

94¢

96.6¢

$965.50$25.50 (2.71%)

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 94¢

1,000.0 cổ phần

$965.50$25.50 (2.71%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 92¢

1,000.0 cổ phần

92¢

95.8¢

$958.00$38.00 (4.13%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 92¢

1,000.0 cổ phần

$958.00$38.00 (4.13%)

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 82¢

186.6 cổ phần

82¢

95.5¢

$178.24$25.20 (16.46%)

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 82¢

186.6 cổ phần

$178.24$25.20 (16.46%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

No 56.5¢

251.1 cổ phần

56.5¢

57.2¢

$143.50$1.56 (1.1%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

No 56.5¢

251.1 cổ phần

$143.50$1.56 (1.1%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.9¢

187.0 cổ phần

52.9¢

58.5¢

$109.41$10.53 (10.65%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.9¢

187.0 cổ phần

$109.41$10.53 (10.65%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?

Yes 51.7¢

105.2 cổ phần

51.7¢

75¢

$78.87$24.54 (45.16%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?

Yes 51.7¢

105.2 cổ phần

$78.87$24.54 (45.16%)

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

No 90.2¢

52.7 cổ phần

90.2¢

95.3¢

$50.23$2.69 (5.66%)

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

No 90.2¢

52.7 cổ phần

$50.23$2.69 (5.66%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No 54.7¢

51.3 cổ phần

54.7¢

86.5¢

$44.37$16.31 (58.1%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No 54.7¢

51.3 cổ phần

$44.37$16.31 (58.1%)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Yes 26.3¢

193.2 cổ phần

26.3¢

20¢

$38.64-$12.25 (-24.07%)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Yes 26.3¢

193.2 cổ phần

$38.64-$12.25 (-24.07%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 19¢

219.2 cổ phần

19¢

17¢

$37.26-$4.38 (-10.53%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 19¢

219.2 cổ phần

$37.26-$4.38 (-10.53%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Yes 54.6¢

52.5 cổ phần

54.6¢

61¢

$32.00$3.35 (11.7%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Yes 54.6¢

52.5 cổ phần

$32.00$3.35 (11.7%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 63.9¢

40.9 cổ phần

63.9¢

71.5¢

$29.24$3.12 (11.96%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 63.9¢

40.9 cổ phần

$29.24$3.12 (11.96%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 74.6¢

34.5 cổ phần

74.6¢

83.5¢

$28.81$3.08 (11.96%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 74.6¢

34.5 cổ phần

$28.81$3.08 (11.96%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

Yes 16.7¢

184.6 cổ phần

16.7¢

15.5¢

$28.61-$2.15 (-7%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

Yes 16.7¢

184.6 cổ phần

$28.61-$2.15 (-7%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

No 51¢

44.9 cổ phần

51¢

62.5¢

$28.06$5.16 (22.55%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

No 51¢

44.9 cổ phần

$28.06$5.16 (22.55%)

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Yes 47¢

46.3 cổ phần

47¢

52¢

$24.08$2.32 (10.64%)

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Yes 47¢

46.3 cổ phần

$24.08$2.32 (10.64%)

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 19.6¢

376.3 cổ phần

19.6¢

5.9¢

$22.01-$51.81 (-70.18%)

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 19.6¢

376.3 cổ phần

$22.01-$51.81 (-70.18%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Yes 29¢

24.6 cổ phần

29¢

77.5¢

$19.07$11.94 (167.24%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Yes 29¢

24.6 cổ phần

$19.07$11.94 (167.24%)

Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 82.9¢

19.4 cổ phần

82.9¢

92.4¢

$17.88$1.83 (11.4%)

Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 82.9¢

19.4 cổ phần

$17.88$1.83 (11.4%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 52¢

42.3 cổ phần

52¢

39.5¢

$16.72-$5.30 (-24.08%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 52¢

42.3 cổ phần

$16.72-$5.30 (-24.08%)