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AS прогнози та шанси

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Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

12%

$9M Обс.

$57.4K today

$262K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

41%

$347K Обс.

$53.4K today

$43.4K Liq.

67

Ends in 29 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M Обс.

$251K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$3M Обс.

$94.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%

$7M Обс.

$315K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$4M Обс.

$799K Liq.

1

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

27%

$243K Обс.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

10%

December 31

$102K Обс.

$158K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

64%

December 31

$2M Обс.

$75.5K Liq.

73

Ends in 29 days

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

72%

No Announcement by June 30

$905K Обс.

$172K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

15%

June 30, 2026

$815K Обс.

$18.6K Liq.

45

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

8%

June 30

$68.7K Обс.

$19.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 29 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

<1%

$752K Обс.

$31.7K Liq.

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

13%

$54.5K Обс.

$18.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

18%

$2M Обс.

$46.8K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

4%

$174K Обс.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

13%

$272K Обс.

$19.5K Liq.

18

Ends in 29 days

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$359K Обс.

$37.4K Liq.

63

Ends in 7 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

1%

May 31

$475K Обс.

$12.0K Liq.

193

Ends in 29 days

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

8%

$586K Обс.

$32.0K Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти, торгуючи на теми новин, політики, спорту, виборів, крипто, фінансів, технологій, культури, включаючи такі теми, як AS.

Polymarket наразі має 3116 активних ринків для AS, де ви можете відстежувати або торгувати на прогнози, як-от «Trump out as President before 2027?». Платформа агрегує шанси в реальному часі на основі понад $36.8M обсягу торгів.

Кожен polymarket — це питання «так/ні», наприклад «Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?». Ви купуєте акції «так» або «ні». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові шанси та ймовірності. Наприклад, якщо «так» коштує 30 центів — це 30% шанс. Ринки вирішуються за офіційними результатами. Для подій з кількома результатами, як-от «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?», ви просто торгуєте на конкретний результат, який вважаєте правильним.

Станом на сьогодні найактивніший ринок — «Trump out as President before 2027?», де спільнота оцінює шанс No у 89%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Це усуває шум. На відміну від опитувань чи експертів, Polymarket показує шанси в реальному часі, підкріплені фінансовою впевненістю, часто швидші та точніші за експертів чи опитування.