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AS прогнози та шанси

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Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M Обс.

$268K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%

$7M Обс.

$336K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

1%

$3M Обс.

$123K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

10%

December 31

$96.3K Обс.

$225K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%

$9M Обс.

$288K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

26%

$299K Обс.

$39.6K Liq.

63

Ends in 30 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

<1%

$750K Обс.

$34.2K Liq.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

62%

December 31

$2M Обс.

$82.2K Liq.

65

Ends in 30 days

FathUnionSport vs. AS FAR

FathUnionSport vs. AS FAR

100%

Draw (FathUnionSport vs. AS FAR)

$4.8K Обс.

$972K Liq.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

2%

$317K Обс.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

32%

December 31, 2026

$358K Обс.

$37.2K Liq.

62

Ends in 7 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

16%

June 30, 2026

$812K Обс.

$17.6K Liq.

45

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

22%

$235K Обс.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$4M Обс.

$620K Liq.

1

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

19%

$2M Обс.

$44.6K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

27%

$226K Обс.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

73%

No Announcement by June 30

$899K Обс.

$137K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

3%

June 30

$65.5K Обс.

$16.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 30 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

5%

$171K Обс.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

11%

June 30, 2026

$34.9K Обс.

$30.3K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти, торгуючи на теми новин, політики, спорту, виборів, крипто, фінансів, технологій, культури, включаючи такі теми, як AS.

Polymarket наразі має 3107 активних ринків для AS, де ви можете відстежувати або торгувати на прогнози, як-от «Trump out as President by June 30?». Платформа агрегує шанси в реальному часі на основі понад $35.8M обсягу торгів.

Кожен polymarket — це питання «так/ні», наприклад «Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?». Ви купуєте акції «так» або «ні». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові шанси та ймовірності. Наприклад, якщо «так» коштує 30 центів — це 30% шанс. Ринки вирішуються за офіційними результатами. Для подій з кількома результатами, як-от «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?», ви просто торгуєте на конкретний результат, який вважаєте правильним.

Станом на сьогодні найактивніший ринок — «Trump out as President before 2027?», де спільнота оцінює шанс No у 90%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Це усуває шум. На відміну від опитувань чи експертів, Polymarket показує шанси в реальному часі, підкріплені фінансовою впевненістю, часто швидші та точніші за експертів чи опитування.