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Політика·Вибори в США

Will either candidate concede by Friday?

icon for Will either candidate concede by Friday?
Політика·Вибори в США

Will either candidate concede by Friday?

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$63,303 Обс.

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$63,303 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Обсяг
$63,303
Дата завершення
Nov 8, 2024
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2024, 12:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Обсяг
$63,303
Дата завершення
Nov 8, 2024
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2024, 12:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will either candidate concede by Friday?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 100% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 100¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 100%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will either candidate concede by Friday?» згенерував $63.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2024. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will either candidate concede by Friday?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will either candidate concede by Friday?» — 100% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 100% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will either candidate concede by Friday?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.