The open MT-01 House seat, following incumbent Republican Ryan Zinke's March retirement after four terms, has traders pricing Democrats at 57.5% to win the November general election, a slight edge over Republicans at 47%. This reflects Ryan Busse's 15-point lead in recent Democratic primary polling among a field including Russ Cleveland, Sam Forstag, and Matt Rains, contrasted with a fragmented GOP primary featuring Trump-endorsed Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and others that risks nominating a less competitive candidate. Late April candidate analyses highlighted Busse's crossover appeal in Missoula and Bozeman amid housing and health care debates, while Inside Elections shifted the rating toward Democrats. June 2 primaries loom as the next market catalyst in this R+5 district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
55%
Republican Party
43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$392 Обс.
55%
Republican Party
$1,011 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MT-01 House seat, following incumbent Republican Ryan Zinke's March retirement after four terms, has traders pricing Democrats at 57.5% to win the November general election, a slight edge over Republicans at 47%. This reflects Ryan Busse's 15-point lead in recent Democratic primary polling among a field including Russ Cleveland, Sam Forstag, and Matt Rains, contrasted with a fragmented GOP primary featuring Trump-endorsed Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and others that risks nominating a less competitive candidate. Late April candidate analyses highlighted Busse's crossover appeal in Missoula and Bozeman amid housing and health care debates, while Inside Elections shifted the rating toward Democrats. June 2 primaries loom as the next market catalyst in this R+5 district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,402Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MT-01 House seat, following incumbent Republican Ryan Zinke's March retirement after four terms, has traders pricing Democrats at 57.5% to win the November general election, a slight edge over Republicans at 47%. This reflects Ryan Busse's 15-point lead in recent Democratic primary polling among a field including Russ Cleveland, Sam Forstag, and Matt Rains, contrasted with a fragmented GOP primary featuring Trump-endorsed Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and others that risks nominating a less competitive candidate. Late April candidate analyses highlighted Busse's crossover appeal in Missoula and Bozeman amid housing and health care debates, while Inside Elections shifted the rating toward Democrats. June 2 primaries loom as the next market catalyst in this R+5 district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,402Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MT-01 House seat, following incumbent Republican Ryan Zinke's March retirement after four terms, has traders pricing Democrats at 57.5% to win the November general election, a slight edge over Republicans at 47%. This reflects Ryan Busse's 15-point lead in recent Democratic primary polling among a field including Russ Cleveland, Sam Forstag, and Matt Rains, contrasted with a fragmented GOP primary featuring Trump-endorsed Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and others that risks nominating a less competitive candidate. Late April candidate analyses highlighted Busse's crossover appeal in Missoula and Bozeman amid housing and health care debates, while Inside Elections shifted the rating toward Democrats. June 2 primaries loom as the next market catalyst in this R+5 district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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