Skip to main content
icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

86% шанс
Polymarket

$172,457 Обс.

86% шанс
Polymarket

$172,457 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple remains on track to launch its first foldable iPhone, possibly branded Ultra, in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Credible sources describe a book-style design with a roughly 7.8-inch internal display, liquid-metal hinge, and iPad-like multitasking features once unfolded, with production slated to begin later this year. While a Nikkei Asia report in April flagged engineering hurdles that could push shipments into 2027, subsequent updates have downplayed major delays. These developments underpin the 86% market-implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting trader confidence in Apple’s ability to meet its internal timeline despite the technical complexity of crease-free foldables.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$172,457
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple remains on track to launch its first foldable iPhone, possibly branded Ultra, in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Credible sources describe a book-style design with a roughly 7.8-inch internal display, liquid-metal hinge, and iPad-like multitasking features once unfolded, with production slated to begin later this year. While a Nikkei Asia report in April flagged engineering hurdles that could push shipments into 2027, subsequent updates have downplayed major delays. These developments underpin the 86% market-implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting trader confidence in Apple’s ability to meet its internal timeline despite the technical complexity of crease-free foldables.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$172,457
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 86% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 86¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 86%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?» згенерував $172.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 12, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?» — 86% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 86% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.