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XAI прогнози та шанси

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Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

57%

1440+

$29.0K Обс.

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

3%

$72.4K Обс.

$2.8K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

48%

25%+

$20.8K Обс.

$1.1K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

6%

$3.9K Обс.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

78%

Anthropic

$5M Обс.

$206K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

70%

Anthropic

$6M Обс.

$59.7K today

$801K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

53%

Anthropic

$76.7K Обс.

$65.0K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

93%

OpenAI

$8.8K Обс.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

81%

Anthropic

$49.2K Обс.

$69.8K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

100%

Cerebras

$6M Обс.

$93.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

79%

Anthropic

$317K Обс.

$188K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

94%

Anthropic

$14.2K Обс.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

59%

Google

$10.5K Обс.

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

51%

Anthropic

$80.5K Обс.

$62.8K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

99%

OpenAI

$19.6K Обс.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

14%

OpenAI

$2M Обс.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

55%

Anthropic

$1M Обс.

$108K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

64%

Anthropic

$394K Обс.

$71.3K Liq.

51

Ends in about 2 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

58%

None in 2026

$50.7K Обс.

$27.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

77%

Anthropic

$12.0K Обс.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти, торгуючи на теми новин, політики, спорту, виборів, крипто, фінансів, технологій, культури, включаючи такі теми, як XAI.

Polymarket наразі має 131 активних ринків для XAI, де ви можете відстежувати або торгувати на прогнози, як-от «Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?». Платформа агрегує шанси в реальному часі на основі понад $20.8M обсягу торгів.

Кожен polymarket — це питання «так/ні», наприклад «Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?». Ви купуєте акції «так» або «ні». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові шанси та ймовірності. Наприклад, якщо «так» коштує 30 центів — це 30% шанс. Ринки вирішуються за офіційними результатами. Для подій з кількома результатами, як-от «IPOs before 2027?», ви просто торгуєте на конкретний результат, який вважаєте правильним.

Станом на сьогодні найактивніший ринок — «IPOs before 2027?», де спільнота оцінює шанс Once Upon a Farm у 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Це усуває шум. На відміну від опитувань чи експертів, Polymarket показує шанси в реальному часі, підкріплені фінансовою впевненістю, часто швидші та точніші за експертів чи опитування.