Traders assign the highest probability to a June 15–21 release of GPT-5.6 because internal routing logs from OpenAI’s Codex system briefly referenced the model in mid-May, signaling active pre-release testing shortly after the GPT-5.5 rollout on April 23. OpenAI’s accelerated cadence of incremental GPT-5.x updates, combined with competitive pressure from other labs and the absence of any official delay signals, has reinforced expectations for a mid-to-late June public availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 23% chance of no release by June 28 accounts for typical last-minute safety reviews and testing adjustments common in large language model deployments, while lower odds on earlier windows reflect the lack of confirmed benchmarks or system cards to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21 46%
Not released by June 28 19%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 9%
$62,989 Обс.
$62,989 Обс.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
1%
June 8–June 14
9%
June 15–June 21
59%
June 22–June 28
18%
Not released by June 28
20%
June 15–June 21 46%
Not released by June 28 19%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 9%
$62,989 Обс.
$62,989 Обс.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,614 Обс.
1%
June 8–June 14
$11,761 Обс.
9%
June 15–June 21
$2,721 Обс.
59%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 Обс.
18%
Not released by June 28
$6,744 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign the highest probability to a June 15–21 release of GPT-5.6 because internal routing logs from OpenAI’s Codex system briefly referenced the model in mid-May, signaling active pre-release testing shortly after the GPT-5.5 rollout on April 23. OpenAI’s accelerated cadence of incremental GPT-5.x updates, combined with competitive pressure from other labs and the absence of any official delay signals, has reinforced expectations for a mid-to-late June public availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 23% chance of no release by June 28 accounts for typical last-minute safety reviews and testing adjustments common in large language model deployments, while lower odds on earlier windows reflect the lack of confirmed benchmarks or system cards to date.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$62,989Дата завершення
Jun 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign the highest probability to a June 15–21 release of GPT-5.6 because internal routing logs from OpenAI’s Codex system briefly referenced the model in mid-May, signaling active pre-release testing shortly after the GPT-5.5 rollout on April 23. OpenAI’s accelerated cadence of incremental GPT-5.x updates, combined with competitive pressure from other labs and the absence of any official delay signals, has reinforced expectations for a mid-to-late June public availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 23% chance of no release by June 28 accounts for typical last-minute safety reviews and testing adjustments common in large language model deployments, while lower odds on earlier windows reflect the lack of confirmed benchmarks or system cards to date.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$62,989Дата завершення
Jun 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a June 15–21 release of GPT-5.6 because internal routing logs from OpenAI’s Codex system briefly referenced the model in mid-May, signaling active pre-release testing shortly after the GPT-5.5 rollout on April 23. OpenAI’s accelerated cadence of incremental GPT-5.x updates, combined with competitive pressure from other labs and the absence of any official delay signals, has reinforced expectations for a mid-to-late June public availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 23% chance of no release by June 28 accounts for typical last-minute safety reviews and testing adjustments common in large language model deployments, while lower odds on earlier windows reflect the lack of confirmed benchmarks or system cards to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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