Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting its edge in seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ). Latest Léger polling from April 19 places PQ support at 31% versus PLQ at 28%—down five points amid reports of internal Liberal challenges—while Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) lingers at 17% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, who announced a larger-than-promised cabinet this week. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's firm stance on sovereignty has sustained francophone backing outside Montreal, bolstered by by-election victories like Chicoutimi in February, positioning PQ for a projected minority government in first-past-the-post dynamics. CAQ's post-Legault collapse keeps it at 7.5%, with minor parties trailing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
ПК 56%
ЛПК 37%
CAQ 8%
ПКК <1%
$450,227 Обс.
$450,227 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
56%
ЛПК
37%
CAQ
8%
ПКК
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
ПК 56%
ЛПК 37%
CAQ 8%
ПКК <1%
$450,227 Обс.
$450,227 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
$47,468 Обс.
56%
ЛПК
$52,417 Обс.
37%
CAQ
$46,976 Обс.
8%
ПКК
$147,698 Обс.
<1%
PVQ
$106,981 Обс.
<1%
QS
$48,688 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting its edge in seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ). Latest Léger polling from April 19 places PQ support at 31% versus PLQ at 28%—down five points amid reports of internal Liberal challenges—while Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) lingers at 17% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, who announced a larger-than-promised cabinet this week. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's firm stance on sovereignty has sustained francophone backing outside Montreal, bolstered by by-election victories like Chicoutimi in February, positioning PQ for a projected minority government in first-past-the-post dynamics. CAQ's post-Legault collapse keeps it at 7.5%, with minor parties trailing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$450,227Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting its edge in seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ). Latest Léger polling from April 19 places PQ support at 31% versus PLQ at 28%—down five points amid reports of internal Liberal challenges—while Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) lingers at 17% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, who announced a larger-than-promised cabinet this week. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's firm stance on sovereignty has sustained francophone backing outside Montreal, bolstered by by-election victories like Chicoutimi in February, positioning PQ for a projected minority government in first-past-the-post dynamics. CAQ's post-Legault collapse keeps it at 7.5%, with minor parties trailing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$450,227Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting its edge in seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ). Latest Léger polling from April 19 places PQ support at 31% versus PLQ at 28%—down five points amid reports of internal Liberal challenges—while Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) lingers at 17% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, who announced a larger-than-promised cabinet this week. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's firm stance on sovereignty has sustained francophone backing outside Montreal, bolstered by by-election victories like Chicoutimi in February, positioning PQ for a projected minority government in first-past-the-post dynamics. CAQ's post-Legault collapse keeps it at 7.5%, with minor parties trailing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання