Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to 21-24% after an earlier campaign bump tied to trade issues faded. Seat projection models translate these figures into an 80% implied probability that the PQ wins the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to tight races and the CAQ's stronger performance among older voters. The Parti Libéral du Québec has gained modestly to around 22-23%, particularly in Montreal-area ridings, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec has risen to 16-17% with strength in the Quebec City region. Québec Solidaire and other parties trail further back with limited seat prospects. These trends reflect the PQ's consistent lead outside major urban centers and the CAQ's loss of momentum under Premier Christine Fréchette.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
ПК 80%
CAQ 16%
ЛПК 3.5%
ПКК <1%
$928,182 Обс.
$928,182 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
ПК
80%
CAQ
16%
ЛПК
3%
ПКК
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ПК 80%
CAQ 16%
ЛПК 3.5%
ПКК <1%
$928,182 Обс.
$928,182 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
ПК
$132,797 Обс.
80%
CAQ
$142,111 Обс.
16%
ЛПК
$138,638 Обс.
3%
ПКК
$250,591 Обс.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Обс.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to 21-24% after an earlier campaign bump tied to trade issues faded. Seat projection models translate these figures into an 80% implied probability that the PQ wins the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to tight races and the CAQ's stronger performance among older voters. The Parti Libéral du Québec has gained modestly to around 22-23%, particularly in Montreal-area ridings, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec has risen to 16-17% with strength in the Quebec City region. Québec Solidaire and other parties trail further back with limited seat prospects. These trends reflect the PQ's consistent lead outside major urban centers and the CAQ's loss of momentum under Premier Christine Fréchette.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$928,182Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to 21-24% after an earlier campaign bump tied to trade issues faded. Seat projection models translate these figures into an 80% implied probability that the PQ wins the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to tight races and the CAQ's stronger performance among older voters. The Parti Libéral du Québec has gained modestly to around 22-23%, particularly in Montreal-area ridings, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec has risen to 16-17% with strength in the Quebec City region. Québec Solidaire and other parties trail further back with limited seat prospects. These trends reflect the PQ's consistent lead outside major urban centers and the CAQ's loss of momentum under Premier Christine Fréchette.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$928,182Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to 21-24% after an earlier campaign bump tied to trade issues faded. Seat projection models translate these figures into an 80% implied probability that the PQ wins the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to tight races and the CAQ's stronger performance among older voters. The Parti Libéral du Québec has gained modestly to around 22-23%, particularly in Montreal-area ridings, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec has risen to 16-17% with strength in the Quebec City region. Québec Solidaire and other parties trail further back with limited seat prospects. These trends reflect the PQ's consistent lead outside major urban centers and the CAQ's loss of momentum under Premier Christine Fréchette.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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