The Parti Québécois holds the strongest trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to its consistent lead or tie in May polling averages around 30%, driven by dominant support among Francophone voters exceeding 37% in multiple surveys. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails at 27% as the main challenger, performing strongly among non-Francophones but lagging in the decisive Francophone segment that shapes most ridings under the first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 16.5% after a rebound to 22% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reflecting gains since April but insufficient to close the gap. Minor parties remain below 1% amid limited momentum. These patterns position the PQ for a projected majority while highlighting the competitive dynamics that could shift with campaign developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
ПК 57%
ЛПК 27%
CAQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$550,711 Обс.
$550,711 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
57%
ЛПК
27%
CAQ
17%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
ПКК
<1%
ПК 57%
ЛПК 27%
CAQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$550,711 Обс.
$550,711 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
$56,100 Обс.
57%
ЛПК
$59,535 Обс.
27%
CAQ
$67,620 Обс.
17%
PVQ
$126,141 Обс.
<1%
QS
$71,772 Обс.
<1%
ПКК
$169,544 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the strongest trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to its consistent lead or tie in May polling averages around 30%, driven by dominant support among Francophone voters exceeding 37% in multiple surveys. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails at 27% as the main challenger, performing strongly among non-Francophones but lagging in the decisive Francophone segment that shapes most ridings under the first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 16.5% after a rebound to 22% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reflecting gains since April but insufficient to close the gap. Minor parties remain below 1% amid limited momentum. These patterns position the PQ for a projected majority while highlighting the competitive dynamics that could shift with campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$550,711Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the strongest trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to its consistent lead or tie in May polling averages around 30%, driven by dominant support among Francophone voters exceeding 37% in multiple surveys. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails at 27% as the main challenger, performing strongly among non-Francophones but lagging in the decisive Francophone segment that shapes most ridings under the first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 16.5% after a rebound to 22% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reflecting gains since April but insufficient to close the gap. Minor parties remain below 1% amid limited momentum. These patterns position the PQ for a projected majority while highlighting the competitive dynamics that could shift with campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$550,711Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds the strongest trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to its consistent lead or tie in May polling averages around 30%, driven by dominant support among Francophone voters exceeding 37% in multiple surveys. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails at 27% as the main challenger, performing strongly among non-Francophones but lagging in the decisive Francophone segment that shapes most ridings under the first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 16.5% after a rebound to 22% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reflecting gains since April but insufficient to close the gap. Minor parties remain below 1% amid limited momentum. These patterns position the PQ for a projected majority while highlighting the competitive dynamics that could shift with campaign developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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