Recent polls, including Synopsis (May 7-10) and Pallas Data (early May), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) neck-and-neck at 28-30% voting intentions among decided voters, with the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) recovering to 18-19% under new leader Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation. Projection models like 338Canada give PQ a strong edge for the most seats in the National Assembly—62 projected (51-71 range)—due to its dominance among francophones (38% vs. PLQ's 17%), vote efficiency in single-member districts, and CAQ's lingering weakness despite gains. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing PQ at 56.5% to form government ahead of the October 5 deadline, with PLQ at 28.5% and CAQ at 9.5%; smaller parties trail amid low sovereignty support (31%).
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
ПК 56%
ЛПК 29%
CAQ 10%
ПКК <1%
$503,748 Обс.
$503,748 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
56%
ЛПК
29%
CAQ
10%
ПКК
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
ПК 56%
ЛПК 29%
CAQ 10%
ПКК <1%
$503,748 Обс.
$503,748 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
$52,306 Обс.
56%
ЛПК
$55,890 Обс.
29%
CAQ
$59,113 Обс.
10%
ПКК
$163,325 Обс.
<1%
PVQ
$114,822 Обс.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Synopsis (May 7-10) and Pallas Data (early May), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) neck-and-neck at 28-30% voting intentions among decided voters, with the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) recovering to 18-19% under new leader Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation. Projection models like 338Canada give PQ a strong edge for the most seats in the National Assembly—62 projected (51-71 range)—due to its dominance among francophones (38% vs. PLQ's 17%), vote efficiency in single-member districts, and CAQ's lingering weakness despite gains. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing PQ at 56.5% to form government ahead of the October 5 deadline, with PLQ at 28.5% and CAQ at 9.5%; smaller parties trail amid low sovereignty support (31%).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$503,748Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Synopsis (May 7-10) and Pallas Data (early May), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) neck-and-neck at 28-30% voting intentions among decided voters, with the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) recovering to 18-19% under new leader Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation. Projection models like 338Canada give PQ a strong edge for the most seats in the National Assembly—62 projected (51-71 range)—due to its dominance among francophones (38% vs. PLQ's 17%), vote efficiency in single-member districts, and CAQ's lingering weakness despite gains. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing PQ at 56.5% to form government ahead of the October 5 deadline, with PLQ at 28.5% and CAQ at 9.5%; smaller parties trail amid low sovereignty support (31%).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$503,748Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Synopsis (May 7-10) and Pallas Data (early May), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) neck-and-neck at 28-30% voting intentions among decided voters, with the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) recovering to 18-19% under new leader Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation. Projection models like 338Canada give PQ a strong edge for the most seats in the National Assembly—62 projected (51-71 range)—due to its dominance among francophones (38% vs. PLQ's 17%), vote efficiency in single-member districts, and CAQ's lingering weakness despite gains. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing PQ at 56.5% to form government ahead of the October 5 deadline, with PLQ at 28.5% and CAQ at 9.5%; smaller parties trail amid low sovereignty support (31%).
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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