Maryland's 8th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured re-election in 2024 with nearly 77 percent of the vote and maintains a dominant fundraising edge heading into the 2026 cycle. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and a June Democratic primary where Raskin faces only minor challengers before the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at over 95 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Montgomery County suburbs, though such developments remain rare in this safely Democratic seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$14,576 Обс.
$14,576 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
7%
$14,576 Обс.
$14,576 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,416 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$8,159 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured re-election in 2024 with nearly 77 percent of the vote and maintains a dominant fundraising edge heading into the 2026 cycle. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and a June Democratic primary where Raskin faces only minor challengers before the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at over 95 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Montgomery County suburbs, though such developments remain rare in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,576Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured re-election in 2024 with nearly 77 percent of the vote and maintains a dominant fundraising edge heading into the 2026 cycle. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and a June Democratic primary where Raskin faces only minor challengers before the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at over 95 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Montgomery County suburbs, though such developments remain rare in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,576Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured re-election in 2024 with nearly 77 percent of the vote and maintains a dominant fundraising edge heading into the 2026 cycle. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and a June Democratic primary where Raskin faces only minor challengers before the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at over 95 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a significant scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Montgomery County suburbs, though such developments remain rare in this safely Democratic seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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