Democratic Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton’s March primary victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Rep. Robin Kelly, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, has locked in a commanding position for the November general election. The retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin opened a reliably Democratic seat in a state where Republicans have not won statewide office in more than fifteen years, and current race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid for the eventual Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, confronts structural headwinds including limited recent statewide success and lower name recognition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, though unexpected national shifts or turnout surprises in the final months could still narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$24,938 Обс.
$24,938 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
4%
$24,938 Обс.
$24,938 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,804 Обс.
96%
Republican
$12,133 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton’s March primary victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Rep. Robin Kelly, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, has locked in a commanding position for the November general election. The retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin opened a reliably Democratic seat in a state where Republicans have not won statewide office in more than fifteen years, and current race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid for the eventual Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, confronts structural headwinds including limited recent statewide success and lower name recognition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, though unexpected national shifts or turnout surprises in the final months could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,938Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton’s March primary victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Rep. Robin Kelly, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, has locked in a commanding position for the November general election. The retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin opened a reliably Democratic seat in a state where Republicans have not won statewide office in more than fifteen years, and current race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid for the eventual Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, confronts structural headwinds including limited recent statewide success and lower name recognition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, though unexpected national shifts or turnout surprises in the final months could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$24,938Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton’s March primary victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Rep. Robin Kelly, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, has locked in a commanding position for the November general election. The retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin opened a reliably Democratic seat in a state where Republicans have not won statewide office in more than fifteen years, and current race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid for the eventual Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, confronts structural headwinds including limited recent statewide success and lower name recognition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, though unexpected national shifts or turnout surprises in the final months could still narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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