Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Miami Gardens and surrounding areas, where recent redistricting increased the partisan baseline to roughly D+56 and preserved the incumbent’s strong local support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability for a Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s consistent voting history, limited Republican fundraising, and the presence of only a single GOP primary candidate ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries. Incumbent Frederica Wilson faces a low-profile Democratic primary opponent but enters the general election with the structural advantages typical of long-serving members in safe seats. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or an unforeseen primary upset capable of altering the November 3 general-election matchup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$17,745 Обс.
$17,745 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$17,745 Обс.
$17,745 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,268 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$10,477 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Miami Gardens and surrounding areas, where recent redistricting increased the partisan baseline to roughly D+56 and preserved the incumbent’s strong local support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability for a Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s consistent voting history, limited Republican fundraising, and the presence of only a single GOP primary candidate ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries. Incumbent Frederica Wilson faces a low-profile Democratic primary opponent but enters the general election with the structural advantages typical of long-serving members in safe seats. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or an unforeseen primary upset capable of altering the November 3 general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,745Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Miami Gardens and surrounding areas, where recent redistricting increased the partisan baseline to roughly D+56 and preserved the incumbent’s strong local support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability for a Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s consistent voting history, limited Republican fundraising, and the presence of only a single GOP primary candidate ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries. Incumbent Frederica Wilson faces a low-profile Democratic primary opponent but enters the general election with the structural advantages typical of long-serving members in safe seats. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or an unforeseen primary upset capable of altering the November 3 general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,745Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Miami Gardens and surrounding areas, where recent redistricting increased the partisan baseline to roughly D+56 and preserved the incumbent’s strong local support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability for a Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s consistent voting history, limited Republican fundraising, and the presence of only a single GOP primary candidate ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries. Incumbent Frederica Wilson faces a low-profile Democratic primary opponent but enters the general election with the structural advantages typical of long-serving members in safe seats. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing or an unforeseen primary upset capable of altering the November 3 general-election matchup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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