Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index of R+14. The seat became open after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a bid for governor, drawing a crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates while Democrats field several entrants in their August 18 primary. Recent congressional redistricting signed into law in May 2026 is projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, further solidifying the district's position in Southwest Florida. Traders assign the Republican Party an implied probability near 90 percent for the November 3 general election outcome, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the area.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,641 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$179 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index of R+14. The seat became open after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a bid for governor, drawing a crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates while Democrats field several entrants in their August 18 primary. Recent congressional redistricting signed into law in May 2026 is projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, further solidifying the district's position in Southwest Florida. Traders assign the Republican Party an implied probability near 90 percent for the November 3 general election outcome, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,820Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index of R+14. The seat became open after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a bid for governor, drawing a crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates while Democrats field several entrants in their August 18 primary. Recent congressional redistricting signed into law in May 2026 is projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, further solidifying the district's position in Southwest Florida. Traders assign the Republican Party an implied probability near 90 percent for the November 3 general election outcome, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,820Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index of R+14. The seat became open after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a bid for governor, drawing a crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates while Democrats field several entrants in their August 18 primary. Recent congressional redistricting signed into law in May 2026 is projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, further solidifying the district's position in Southwest Florida. Traders assign the Republican Party an implied probability near 90 percent for the November 3 general election outcome, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the area.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання