Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDatabricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Databricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 94.7%
200–250 млрд 2.1%
125–150 млрд 1.4%
<100 млрд <1%
$403,994 Обс.
$403,994 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
<1%
100–125 млрд
<1%
125–150 млрд
1%
150–175 млрд
<1%
175–200 млрд
<1%
200–250 млрд
2%
250 млрд+
<1%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
88%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 94.7%
200–250 млрд 2.1%
125–150 млрд 1.4%
<100 млрд <1%
$403,994 Обс.
$403,994 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
$33,240 Обс.
<1%
100–125 млрд
$62,203 Обс.
<1%
125–150 млрд
$26,692 Обс.
1%
150–175 млрд
$59,896 Обс.
<1%
175–200 млрд
$58,153 Обс.
<1%
200–250 млрд
$21,122 Обс.
2%
250 млрд+
$126,215 Обс.
<1%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
$16,474 Обс.
88%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$403,994Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$403,994Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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