Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (88.1% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC despite CEO Ali Ghodsi's February 2026 comments that the data and AI platform is "IPO-ready" when market conditions align. Massive early-year funding—a $5 billion equity round at $134 billion private valuation in February and $1.8 billion debt in January—has extended the company's runway, reducing urgency amid robust growth toward $4-5 billion annual recurring revenue. Recent expansions, including a $416 million Australian investment announced May 5 and UK commitments in late March, prioritize global scaling over a rushed listing. With just six weeks remaining, the typical 2-3 month IPO timeline makes a Q2 debut improbable; watch for confidential filing signals that could shift odds. Low probabilities across market cap buckets reflect this delay and potential public valuation discounts versus private peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDatabricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Databricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 81.8%
200–250 млрд 2.3%
125–150 млрд 1.4%
250 млрд+ <1%
$403,994 Обс.
$403,994 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
<1%
100–125 млрд
<1%
125–150 млрд
1%
150–175 млрд
<1%
175–200 млрд
<1%
200–250 млрд
2%
250 млрд+
1%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
82%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 81.8%
200–250 млрд 2.3%
125–150 млрд 1.4%
250 млрд+ <1%
$403,994 Обс.
$403,994 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
$33,240 Обс.
<1%
100–125 млрд
$62,203 Обс.
<1%
125–150 млрд
$26,692 Обс.
1%
150–175 млрд
$59,896 Обс.
<1%
175–200 млрд
$58,153 Обс.
<1%
200–250 млрд
$21,122 Обс.
2%
250 млрд+
$126,215 Обс.
1%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
$16,474 Обс.
82%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (88.1% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC despite CEO Ali Ghodsi's February 2026 comments that the data and AI platform is "IPO-ready" when market conditions align. Massive early-year funding—a $5 billion equity round at $134 billion private valuation in February and $1.8 billion debt in January—has extended the company's runway, reducing urgency amid robust growth toward $4-5 billion annual recurring revenue. Recent expansions, including a $416 million Australian investment announced May 5 and UK commitments in late March, prioritize global scaling over a rushed listing. With just six weeks remaining, the typical 2-3 month IPO timeline makes a Q2 debut improbable; watch for confidential filing signals that could shift odds. Low probabilities across market cap buckets reflect this delay and potential public valuation discounts versus private peaks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$403,994Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (88.1% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC despite CEO Ali Ghodsi's February 2026 comments that the data and AI platform is "IPO-ready" when market conditions align. Massive early-year funding—a $5 billion equity round at $134 billion private valuation in February and $1.8 billion debt in January—has extended the company's runway, reducing urgency amid robust growth toward $4-5 billion annual recurring revenue. Recent expansions, including a $416 million Australian investment announced May 5 and UK commitments in late March, prioritize global scaling over a rushed listing. With just six weeks remaining, the typical 2-3 month IPO timeline makes a Q2 debut improbable; watch for confidential filing signals that could shift odds. Low probabilities across market cap buckets reflect this delay and potential public valuation discounts versus private peaks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$403,994Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (88.1% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC despite CEO Ali Ghodsi's February 2026 comments that the data and AI platform is "IPO-ready" when market conditions align. Massive early-year funding—a $5 billion equity round at $134 billion private valuation in February and $1.8 billion debt in January—has extended the company's runway, reducing urgency amid robust growth toward $4-5 billion annual recurring revenue. Recent expansions, including a $416 million Australian investment announced May 5 and UK commitments in late March, prioritize global scaling over a rushed listing. With just six weeks remaining, the typical 2-3 month IPO timeline makes a Q2 debut improbable; watch for confidential filing signals that could shift odds. Low probabilities across market cap buckets reflect this delay and potential public valuation discounts versus private peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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