Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (87.2% implied probability), reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing with the SEC as of mid-April and CEO Ali Ghodsi's recent statement ruling out a 2026 listing. This positioning stems from the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion valuation—coupled with January's $1.8 billion debt financing—providing substantial runway amid explosive growth to over $4 billion in annualized recurring revenue and 65% year-over-year expansion in its data lakehouse platform. Binned market cap outcomes carry minimal odds (<4%) due to timeline constraints, with the $134 billion private valuation hinting at a potential 125–150B range if a later public debut materializes; watch for any surprise S-1 submission as the key catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDatabricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Databricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 88.3%
250 млрд+ 4.2%
125–150 млрд 2.1%
<100 млрд 1.6%
$371,957 Обс.
$371,957 Обс.
<100 млрд
2%
100–125 млрд
1%
125–150 млрд
2%
150–175 млрд
1%
175–200 млрд
1%
200–250 млрд
1%
250 млрд+
4%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
87%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 88.3%
250 млрд+ 4.2%
125–150 млрд 2.1%
<100 млрд 1.6%
$371,957 Обс.
$371,957 Обс.
<100 млрд
2%
100–125 млрд
1%
125–150 млрд
2%
150–175 млрд
1%
175–200 млрд
1%
200–250 млрд
1%
250 млрд+
4%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
87%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (87.2% implied probability), reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing with the SEC as of mid-April and CEO Ali Ghodsi's recent statement ruling out a 2026 listing. This positioning stems from the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion valuation—coupled with January's $1.8 billion debt financing—providing substantial runway amid explosive growth to over $4 billion in annualized recurring revenue and 65% year-over-year expansion in its data lakehouse platform. Binned market cap outcomes carry minimal odds (<4%) due to timeline constraints, with the $134 billion private valuation hinting at a potential 125–150B range if a later public debut materializes; watch for any surprise S-1 submission as the key catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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