Trader consensus heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, driven by March reports from Reuters and CNBC indicating the company's preference for the exchange, contingent on early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion just 15 days post-IPO—a rule change Nasdaq enacted to secure the blockbuster debut. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and June roadshow, reinforces this positioning amid Starlink satellite constellation expansions and Starship rocket milestones boosting investor confidence. NYSE trails at 1% due to lacking such incentives, while "Other" reflects slim chances of alternatives; upcoming S-1 prospectus and listing details could refine odds further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 90%
Other 6.6%
NYSE 1.0%
$95,051 Обс.
$95,051 Обс.
NASDAQ
90%
Other
7%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 90%
Other 6.6%
NYSE 1.0%
$95,051 Обс.
$95,051 Обс.
NASDAQ
90%
Other
7%
NYSE
1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, driven by March reports from Reuters and CNBC indicating the company's preference for the exchange, contingent on early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion just 15 days post-IPO—a rule change Nasdaq enacted to secure the blockbuster debut. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and June roadshow, reinforces this positioning amid Starlink satellite constellation expansions and Starship rocket milestones boosting investor confidence. NYSE trails at 1% due to lacking such incentives, while "Other" reflects slim chances of alternatives; upcoming S-1 prospectus and listing details could refine odds further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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