Traders' overwhelming 94% implied probability for a Nasdaq listing reflects SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month and reports of its negotiations for accelerated entry into the Nasdaq-100 index, with the exchange revising rules to enable mega-IPOs like this $1.75 trillion rocket and satellite leader to join after just 15 trading days. This aligns SpaceX's Starlink constellation expansion and frequent Falcon 9 launches with Nasdaq's tech ecosystem, mirroring Tesla's path. A realistic challenge would involve NYSE outbidding via superior liquidity incentives or regulatory hurdles delaying Nasdaq approval; expect clarity from SEC disclosures ahead of a potential June debut.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 94%
Other 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 Обс.
$92,311 Обс.
NASDAQ
94%
Other
5%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 94%
Other 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 Обс.
$92,311 Обс.
NASDAQ
94%
Other
5%
NYSE
<1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' overwhelming 94% implied probability for a Nasdaq listing reflects SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month and reports of its negotiations for accelerated entry into the Nasdaq-100 index, with the exchange revising rules to enable mega-IPOs like this $1.75 trillion rocket and satellite leader to join after just 15 trading days. This aligns SpaceX's Starlink constellation expansion and frequent Falcon 9 launches with Nasdaq's tech ecosystem, mirroring Tesla's path. A realistic challenge would involve NYSE outbidding via superior liquidity incentives or regulatory hurdles delaying Nasdaq approval; expect clarity from SEC disclosures ahead of a potential June debut.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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