Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and sharp production cuts across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, represent the dominant driver pushing June 2026 WTI crude futures near $100 per barrel. This has triggered record inventory draws and elevated benchmark prices to levels last seen during major supply shocks, supporting the market-implied 71% probability for settlement above $84. Recent EIA data showing a 2.3 million barrel crude stock decline and resilient global demand amid higher energy costs have reinforced trader consensus for elevated prices through June. While U.S.-Iran talks could ease tensions and allow partial flow resumption, the scale of lost output—estimated at over 10 million barrels per day—suggests limited downside risk in the near term, keeping lower price buckets below 10% implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 71%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 8.1%
$63-$70 2.6%
$161,049 Обс.
$161,049 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
17%
>$84
71%
>$84 71%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 8.1%
$63-$70 2.6%
$161,049 Обс.
$161,049 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$17,182 Обс.
1%
$42-$49
$5,944 Обс.
<1%
$49-$56
$7,122 Обс.
1%
$56-$63
$7,223 Обс.
2%
$63-$70
$20,833 Обс.
3%
$70-$77
$12,440 Обс.
8%
$77-$84
$13,714 Обс.
17%
>$84
$76,591 Обс.
71%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and sharp production cuts across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, represent the dominant driver pushing June 2026 WTI crude futures near $100 per barrel. This has triggered record inventory draws and elevated benchmark prices to levels last seen during major supply shocks, supporting the market-implied 71% probability for settlement above $84. Recent EIA data showing a 2.3 million barrel crude stock decline and resilient global demand amid higher energy costs have reinforced trader consensus for elevated prices through June. While U.S.-Iran talks could ease tensions and allow partial flow resumption, the scale of lost output—estimated at over 10 million barrels per day—suggests limited downside risk in the near term, keeping lower price buckets below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$161,049Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and sharp production cuts across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, represent the dominant driver pushing June 2026 WTI crude futures near $100 per barrel. This has triggered record inventory draws and elevated benchmark prices to levels last seen during major supply shocks, supporting the market-implied 71% probability for settlement above $84. Recent EIA data showing a 2.3 million barrel crude stock decline and resilient global demand amid higher energy costs have reinforced trader consensus for elevated prices through June. While U.S.-Iran talks could ease tensions and allow partial flow resumption, the scale of lost output—estimated at over 10 million barrels per day—suggests limited downside risk in the near term, keeping lower price buckets below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Обсяг
$161,049Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and sharp production cuts across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, represent the dominant driver pushing June 2026 WTI crude futures near $100 per barrel. This has triggered record inventory draws and elevated benchmark prices to levels last seen during major supply shocks, supporting the market-implied 71% probability for settlement above $84. Recent EIA data showing a 2.3 million barrel crude stock decline and resilient global demand amid higher energy costs have reinforced trader consensus for elevated prices through June. While U.S.-Iran talks could ease tensions and allow partial flow resumption, the scale of lost output—estimated at over 10 million barrels per day—suggests limited downside risk in the near term, keeping lower price buckets below 10% implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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