Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest reading since May 2023, driven largely by a 17.9% surge in energy costs amid geopolitical tensions. This environment, paired with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and market-implied odds favoring no change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, has shaped gold futures positioning. Persistent above-target inflation supports gold's role as a hedge, while elevated real yields and a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.3%) limit downside in the dollar. Key near-term catalysts include the May employment report on June 5, May CPI release on June 10, and potential seasonal softening in jewelry demand. Central bank buying and de-dollarization flows continue to provide structural support through month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЩо вразить Gold (GC) __ до кінця червня?
$5,368,865 Обс.
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8 500
1%
↑ $8,000
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,500
1%
↑ $6 200
1%
↑ $6 000
1%
↑ $5,700
2%
↑ $5,500
2%
↑ $5,400
2%
↑ $5,300
2%
↑ $5 200
4%
↑ $5,100
8%
↑ $5,000
12%
↑ $4,900
26%
↑ $4,800
48%
↓ $4 400
46%
↓ $4,300
21%
↓ $4,200
18%
↓ $3,800
3%
↓ $3,400
2%
$5,368,865 Обс.
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8 500
1%
↑ $8,000
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,500
1%
↑ $6 200
1%
↑ $6 000
1%
↑ $5,700
2%
↑ $5,500
2%
↑ $5,400
2%
↑ $5,300
2%
↑ $5 200
4%
↑ $5,100
8%
↑ $5,000
12%
↑ $4,900
26%
↑ $4,800
48%
↓ $4 400
46%
↓ $4,300
21%
↓ $4,200
18%
↓ $3,800
3%
↓ $3,400
2%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest reading since May 2023, driven largely by a 17.9% surge in energy costs amid geopolitical tensions. This environment, paired with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and market-implied odds favoring no change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, has shaped gold futures positioning. Persistent above-target inflation supports gold's role as a hedge, while elevated real yields and a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.3%) limit downside in the dollar. Key near-term catalysts include the May employment report on June 5, May CPI release on June 10, and potential seasonal softening in jewelry demand. Central bank buying and de-dollarization flows continue to provide structural support through month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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