Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 31.5% implied probability for Gold (GC) June futures settling in the $4,600-$5,000 range, closely trailed by 26.0% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting current GC June contract trading near $4,720 amid a recent 4% rally from early May lows around $4,530. This positioning stems from dollar weakness—DXY dipping below 98—offsetting hawkish Federal Reserve signals from the May FOMC, where persistent inflation data sustained "higher-for-longer" rate expectations, capping upside while supporting safe-haven demand. The tight race hinges on swing factors like upcoming May CPI release and June FOMC guidance; softer inflation or escalating geopolitics could favor higher bins, while Treasury yield spikes or DXY rebound might trigger pullbacks toward $4,200 support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНа що буде розраховано Gold (GC) у червні?
На що буде розраховано Gold (GC) у червні?
$4,600-$5,000 32%
$4 200–$4 600 26.0%
$5,000–$5,400 17.8%
$5 400–$5 800 9%
$935,330 Обс.
$935,330 Обс.
< $3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
8%
$4 200–$4 600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
32%
$5,000–$5,400
18%
$5 400–$5 800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
3%
$4,600-$5,000 32%
$4 200–$4 600 26.0%
$5,000–$5,400 17.8%
$5 400–$5 800 9%
$935,330 Обс.
$935,330 Обс.
< $3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
8%
$4 200–$4 600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
32%
$5,000–$5,400
18%
$5 400–$5 800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 31.5% implied probability for Gold (GC) June futures settling in the $4,600-$5,000 range, closely trailed by 26.0% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting current GC June contract trading near $4,720 amid a recent 4% rally from early May lows around $4,530. This positioning stems from dollar weakness—DXY dipping below 98—offsetting hawkish Federal Reserve signals from the May FOMC, where persistent inflation data sustained "higher-for-longer" rate expectations, capping upside while supporting safe-haven demand. The tight race hinges on swing factors like upcoming May CPI release and June FOMC guidance; softer inflation or escalating geopolitics could favor higher bins, while Treasury yield spikes or DXY rebound might trigger pullbacks toward $4,200 support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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