Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 31.5% implied probability for Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, edging out 26.0% for $4,200-$4,600, as June futures trade near $4,740 amid persistent safe-haven demand and sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI climbed 3.3% year-over-year, bolstering the Fed's pause at 3.5%-3.75% fed funds rate, with officials warning of potential 2026 hikes if inflation reaccelerates. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and robust central bank gold buying underpin upside forecasts toward $5,000 mid-year, per HSBC, while a softer U.S. dollar adds tailwinds. The closely contested odds hinge on April CPI data due May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, which could recalibrate rate expectations and break the deadlock.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНа що буде розраховано Gold (GC) у червні?
На що буде розраховано Gold (GC) у червні?
$4,600-$5,000 32%
$4 200–$4 600 26.0%
$5,000–$5,400 17.8%
$5 400–$5 800 9%
$935,330 Обс.
$935,330 Обс.
< $3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
8%
$4 200–$4 600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
32%
$5,000–$5,400
18%
$5 400–$5 800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
3%
$4,600-$5,000 32%
$4 200–$4 600 26.0%
$5,000–$5,400 17.8%
$5 400–$5 800 9%
$935,330 Обс.
$935,330 Обс.
< $3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
8%
$4 200–$4 600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
32%
$5,000–$5,400
18%
$5 400–$5 800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 31.5% implied probability for Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, edging out 26.0% for $4,200-$4,600, as June futures trade near $4,740 amid persistent safe-haven demand and sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI climbed 3.3% year-over-year, bolstering the Fed's pause at 3.5%-3.75% fed funds rate, with officials warning of potential 2026 hikes if inflation reaccelerates. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and robust central bank gold buying underpin upside forecasts toward $5,000 mid-year, per HSBC, while a softer U.S. dollar adds tailwinds. The closely contested odds hinge on April CPI data due May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, which could recalibrate rate expectations and break the deadlock.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання