Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May, with the EIA forecasting Brent near $106 per barrel through June before easing on gradual supply normalization. Lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA further temper upside risks, while weekly EIA inventory releases and any progress toward reopening the strait remain key near-term catalysts ahead of the final June trading day for CL futures settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$127,154 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$90
48%
$85
52%
$80
70%
$75
78%
$70
89%
$65
92%
$63
94%
$60
94%
$56
96%
$55
95%
$52
98%
$50
97%
$127,154 Обс.
$90
$25,907 Обс.
48%
$85
$5,793 Обс.
52%
$80
$5,937 Обс.
70%
$75
$16,716 Обс.
78%
$70
$19,604 Обс.
89%
$65
$872 Обс.
92%
$63
$8,961 Обс.
94%
$60
$21,068 Обс.
94%
$56
$4,950 Обс.
96%
$55
$2,914 Обс.
95%
$52
$6,332 Обс.
98%
$50
$8,100 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May, with the EIA forecasting Brent near $106 per barrel through June before easing on gradual supply normalization. Lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA further temper upside risks, while weekly EIA inventory releases and any progress toward reopening the strait remain key near-term catalysts ahead of the final June trading day for CL futures settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$127,154Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May, with the EIA forecasting Brent near $106 per barrel through June before easing on gradual supply normalization. Lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA further temper upside risks, while weekly EIA inventory releases and any progress toward reopening the strait remain key near-term catalysts ahead of the final June trading day for CL futures settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Обсяг
$127,154Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February have triggered Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, driving sharp global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2 2026. These dynamics have lifted WTI crude to the mid-to-high $80s in late May, with the EIA forecasting Brent near $106 per barrel through June before easing on gradual supply normalization. Lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA further temper upside risks, while weekly EIA inventory releases and any progress toward reopening the strait remain key near-term catalysts ahead of the final June trading day for CL futures settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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