Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.